0xbfcc…12a6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbfccc586c262d94f42c5f4fa34465d20105312a6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.0pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

71% @ 64.1¢

Brier

0.131

Resolved

343

Avg size

$83

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (95/136)	+2%	136
Politics	78% (35/45)	+17%	45
Sports	81% (26/32)	-0%	32
Geopolitics	100% (17/17)	+16%	17
Tech	67% (4/6)	+14%	6
Crypto	100% (5/5)	+57%	5
Business	25% (1/4)	-76%	4

Other136 bets
Hit rate
70% (95/136)
ROI
+2%
Politics45 bets
Hit rate
78% (35/45)
ROI
+17%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
81% (26/32)
ROI
-0%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
100% (17/17)
ROI
+16%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+14%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+57%
Business4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-76%

Track record

75% hit · 183/245

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$200	82.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	$35	97.2¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$246	56.6¢	Won
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$200	83.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$500	98.3¢	Won
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$350	98.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	$200	95.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	No	$580	52.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?	No	$250	69.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$300	56.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	$50	74.8¢	Lost
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.1k	98.2¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$92	16.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	No	$200	85.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	No	$225	94.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?	No	$200	99.7¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	Yes	$100	96.3¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$20	88.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$820	99.4¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	$25	86.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$300	96.9¢	Won
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$200	99.7¢	Won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$15	24.8¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$250	96.8¢	Won
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.5k	99.5¢	Won
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$200	99.2¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	No	$400	87.7¢	Won
Will Morocco win the World Cup?	No	$350	99.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$1.3k	93.4¢	Won
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?	No	$180	20.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?	No	$890	94.0¢	Won
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?	No	$180	92.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	$58	97.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$135	77.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	No	$400	93.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$100	97.4¢	Lost
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Benoît Saint Denis	$300	57.0¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$20	82.2¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$160	81.1¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$150	95.8¢	Won
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?	No	$100	97.9¢	Won
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$100	95.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$100	65.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	No	$200	82.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	No	$670	96.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?	No	$136	85.0¢	Won
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Shifters	$3	64.0¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$326	79.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	No	$10	9.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	$10	62.5¢	Won

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$200 @ 82.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Won
No$35 @ 97.2¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$246 @ 56.6¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$200 @ 83.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$500 @ 98.3¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$350 @ 98.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Won
No$200 @ 95.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Lost
No$580 @ 52.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?Lost
No$250 @ 69.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Lost
No$300 @ 56.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
England$50 @ 74.8¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.1k @ 98.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$92 @ 16.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Won
No$200 @ 85.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Won
No$225 @ 94.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?Won
No$200 @ 99.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Won
Yes$100 @ 96.3¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$20 @ 88.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$820 @ 99.4¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsWon
Bilibili Gaming$25 @ 86.0¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$300 @ 96.9¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$200 @ 99.7¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceLost
Belgium$15 @ 24.8¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Belgium$250 @ 96.8¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.5k @ 99.5¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$200 @ 99.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Won
No$400 @ 87.7¢
Will Morocco win the World Cup?Won
No$350 @ 99.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$1.3k @ 93.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?Won
No$180 @ 20.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Won
No$890 @ 94.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?Won
No$180 @ 92.0¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Won
No$58 @ 97.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$135 @ 77.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Won
No$400 @ 93.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
No$100 @ 97.4¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Benoît Saint Denis$300 @ 57.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
No$20 @ 82.2¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$160 @ 81.1¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
No$150 @ 95.8¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Won
No$100 @ 97.9¢
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 95.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 65.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Won
No$200 @ 82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Won
No$670 @ 96.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?Won
No$136 @ 85.0¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerLost
Shifters$3 @ 64.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$326 @ 79.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Won
No$10 @ 62.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$956	70.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Other	No	$683	74.5¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$576	89.6¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	No	$500	34.1¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$430	72.6¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in September?	—	No	$360	90.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$360	54.6¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	—	No	$340	86.9¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?	Tech	No	$330	87.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$301	77.5¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	—	No	$300	94.3¢
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Politics	No	$300	90.1¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	—	No	$300	74.8¢
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$300	99.4¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$300	95.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	—	No	$300	92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	—	No	$300	92.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?	—	No	$300	88.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	No	$290	90.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?	—	No	$250	88.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	Crypto	No	$250	87.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	No	$250	85.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	—	No	$250	68.7¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$250	74.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$231	72.7¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in September?	—	No	$200	92.8¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	—	No	$200	85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	—	No	$200	96.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31?	—	No	$200	90.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$200	87.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$956 @ 70.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Other
No$683 @ 74.5¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$576 @ 89.6¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
No$500 @ 34.1¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$430 @ 72.6¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in September?—
No$360 @ 90.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$360 @ 54.6¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?—
No$340 @ 86.9¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?Tech
No$330 @ 87.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$301 @ 77.5¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?—
No$300 @ 94.3¢
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics
No$300 @ 90.1¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?—
No$300 @ 74.8¢
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech
Yes$300 @ 99.4¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech
Yes$300 @ 95.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?—
No$300 @ 92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?—
No$300 @ 92.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?—
No$300 @ 88.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
No$290 @ 90.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?—
No$250 @ 88.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Crypto
No$250 @ 87.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
No$250 @ 85.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?—
No$250 @ 68.7¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$250 @ 74.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$231 @ 72.7¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in September?—
No$200 @ 92.8¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?—
No$200 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?—
No$200 @ 96.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31?—
No$200 @ 90.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$200 @ 87.0¢