0xbfcc…12a6

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other82 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (58/82)

  ROI

  +5%

• Politics28 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (21/28)

  ROI

  +15%

• Geopolitics11 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (11/11)

  ROI

  +23%

• Business4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -76%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -28%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -26%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +30%

• Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$24 @ 66.8¢
• LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerLost
  Shifters$3 @ 64.0¢
• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
  No$326 @ 79.4¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?Lost
  No$10 @ 9.4¢
• Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Won
  No$10 @ 62.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
  No$1.2k @ 81.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$189 @ 61.1¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$300 @ 79.3¢
• Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$101 @ 82.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$602 @ 78.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
  No$230 @ 68.2¢
• Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$62 @ 77.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$163 @ 89.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Lost
  No$138 @ 37.7¢
• Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)Won
  No$50 @ 87.2¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Lost
  No$32 @ 22.5¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$283 @ 79.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
  No$204 @ 84.8¢
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Won
  No$189 @ 85.0¢
• LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerLost
  Sentinels$15 @ 27.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$823 @ 79.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
  No$22 @ 76.0¢
• LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
  Ninjas in Pyjamas$45 @ 89.4¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
  Yes$93 @ 74.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$90 @ 72.0¢
• LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerLost
  Sentinels$6 @ 16.7¢
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?Won
  No$10 @ 61.6¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Won
  No$561 @ 84.3¢
• Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
  No$20 @ 89.5¢
• Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Won
  No$15 @ 73.3¢
• Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)Won
  No$20 @ 87.0¢
• LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
  ThunderTalk Gaming$108 @ 77.2¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$446 @ 66.3¢
• LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerWon
  LYON$30 @ 80.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
  No$458 @ 81.6¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Won
  No$100 @ 87.8¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$164 @ 84.0¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
  No$101 @ 74.0¢
• LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerWon
  Shopify Rebellion$20 @ 17.2¢
• LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
  Fnatic$6 @ 19.0¢
• LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
  Team Vitality$100 @ 89.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$82 @ 82.0¢
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?Won
  No$113 @ 57.9¢
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
  Yes$443 @ 88.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$199 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
  No$421 @ 86.8¢
• LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
  G2 Esports$41 @ 55.0¢
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?Lost
  No$40 @ 14.1¢
• LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerWon
  Shifters$31 @ 52.5¢
• LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerWon
  Karmine Corp$51 @ 60.6¢

Current positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 89.6¢
• Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
  Yes$500 @ 97.6¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  No$500 @ 34.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$456 @ 61.5¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$430 @ 72.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  No$312 @ 91.0¢
• Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  No$300 @ 96.9¢
• UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)—
  Benoît Saint Denis$300 @ 57.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$231 @ 72.7¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
  No$200 @ 26.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$119 @ 30.6¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech
  No$116 @ 35.5¢
• Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?—
  No$100 @ 95.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?—
  No$100 @ 97.9¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Other
  No$100 @ 65.5¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
  No$100 @ 29.0¢
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$92 @ 16.4¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$45 @ 64.0¢
• Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?—
  No$20 @ 92.3¢