0xbfc6…ce6b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbfc6a1cde68eadddbf4812f7d6e637e16ce8ce6b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-1.2pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

3% @ 4.3¢

Brier

0.017

Resolved

6085

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	11% (51/466)	+18%	466
Politics	8% (2/25)	+76%	25

Other466 bets
Hit rate
11% (51/466)
ROI
+18%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
8% (2/25)
ROI
+76%

Track record

11% hit · 53/491

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$4	2.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	$6	4.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	$8	1.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	$23	1.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	$19	3.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$34	0.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	$26	2.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	$78	0.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	$2.1k	85.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$505	11.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$47	2.1¢	Lost
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$123	27.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$62	3.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$14	1.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	No	$30	86.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$37	0.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	$132	88.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$204	1.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	$27	5.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	$45	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$6	1.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	0.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	$18	0.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$105	0.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$86	1.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$200	4.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	Yes	$69	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$44	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?	Yes	$14	0.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	$29	2.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$40	1.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$32	3.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	Yes	$225	1.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	No	$2.2k	88.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	$14	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	No	$2.0k	88.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	Yes	$21	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$52	2.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	$18	1.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$39	1.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	$40	3.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	$40	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	Yes	$62	1.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	$40	3.8¢	Lost

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$34 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$78 @ 0.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Won
No$2.1k @ 85.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$505 @ 11.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$47 @ 2.1¢
Suns vs. LakersLost
Lakers$123 @ 27.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$62 @ 3.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Won
No$30 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Lost
Yes$37 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Won
No$132 @ 88.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$204 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 5.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$45 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Lost
Yes$105 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$86 @ 1.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Lost
Yes$200 @ 4.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Lost
Yes$69 @ 0.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$44 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 2.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 3.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$225 @ 1.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Won
No$2.2k @ 88.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Won
No$2.0k @ 88.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$21 @ 0.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$52 @ 2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$39 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 3.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Lost
Yes$62 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 3.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$12	3.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	1.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	2.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.1¢

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Politics
Yes$12 @ 3.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 2.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢