0xbf93…2fd7

Specialization by sphere

• Other70 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (40/70)

  ROI

  +13%

• Politics15 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (12/15)

  ROI

  +36%

• Tech7 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (4/7)

  ROI

  +13%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -82%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +66%

• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 9.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$7.5k @ 71.1¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$3.3k @ 66.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$3.5k @ 76.7¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 73.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 19.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$29.7k @ 65.7¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
  No$5.7k @ 87.0¢
• GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$23.1k @ 66.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$28.2k @ 84.3¢
• Bulls vs. HornetsLost
  Hornets$3.0k @ 60.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 13.4¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$23.7k @ 60.1¢
• Ducks vs. IslandersWon
  Islanders$614 @ 81.0¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$7.7k @ 26.0¢
• James Comey arrested by May 15?Lost
  No$500 @ 14.0¢
• GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Won
  No$399 @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
  No$740 @ 55.0¢
• Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
  Yes$37.5k @ 82.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 13.0¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$1.9k @ 69.5¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
  No$4.7k @ 48.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$35.3k @ 46.6¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Won
  No$530 @ 52.2¢
• US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.0k @ 59.3¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 11.8¢
• Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
  No$17.8k @ 83.5¢
• Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Won
  Yes$12.1k @ 61.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
• Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Won
  Yes$5.7k @ 68.2¢
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$71.7k @ 62.1¢
• James Comey arrested by April 29?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 65.1¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$4.8k @ 45.2¢
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Lost
  Yes$2.2k @ 80.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$17.9k @ 70.7¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
  No$45.0k @ 79.6¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
  No$511 @ 60.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 71.7¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 17.5¢
• Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?Won
  Yes$6.5k @ 75.0¢
• Hawks vs. WizardsWon
  Hawks$9.3k @ 87.4¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Won
  No$865 @ 23.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Lost
  No$3.0k @ 36.9¢
• Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Lost
  Yes$1000 @ 4.2¢
• Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-13?Lost
  Yes$8.6k @ 88.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 17.0¢
• Red Wings vs. FlamesWon
  Red Wings$4.3k @ 82.0¢
• Jazz vs. GrizzliesLost
  Grizzlies$6.8k @ 85.0¢
• Pacers vs. 76ersWon
  76ers$4.6k @ 70.8¢