0xbe78…c533

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbe78735039230635d5debcdc11400619d7e2c533
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

43% @ 38.4¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

3477

Avg size

$46

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (128/311)	+12%	311
Culture	19% (3/16)	+11%	16

Other311 bets
Hit rate
41% (128/311)
ROI
+12%
Culture16 bets
Hit rate
19% (3/16)
ROI
+11%

Track record

40% hit · 131/327

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 53m?	Yes	$103	9.9¢	Lost
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	$140	7.6¢	Lost
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	$773	45.8¢	Lost
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?	Yes	$93	13.5¢	Won
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	No	$1.5k	76.8¢	Won
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	$54	7.4¢	Lost
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	$12	35.0¢	Lost
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?	Yes	$38	15.0¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	Yes	$1.3k	42.6¢	Won
Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	$1	70.0¢	Won
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	$310	12.2¢	Lost
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$14	4.8¢	Lost
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	Yes	$386	60.1¢	Won
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?	Yes	$268	22.1¢	Lost
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?	Yes	$34	12.0¢	Lost
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	$584	28.0¢	Won
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?	Yes	$10	46.1¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?	Yes	$427	42.8¢	Won
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	$6.3k	47.0¢	Lost
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?	Yes	$14	23.9¢	Won
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?	Yes	$2.2k	88.2¢	Won
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	$321	61.4¢	Won
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	$933	77.9¢	Won
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$323	13.8¢	Lost
Will "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	$253	34.4¢	Lost
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?	No	$17	34.0¢	Won
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?	Yes	$243	22.1¢	Lost
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	Yes	$43	0.7¢	Lost
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	Yes	$15	5.0¢	Lost
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7.5m and 8m?	Yes	$158	28.9¢	Won
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?	Yes	$110	70.7¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	Yes	$481	79.9¢	Won
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13.5m?	Yes	$134	26.9¢	Lost
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $17m?	Yes	$16	13.9¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$32	32.0¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	$1.9k	89.5¢	Won
Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	No	$9	0.7¢	Lost
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?	Yes	$80	11.0¢	Lost
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)	Indiana	$322	46.0¢	Lost
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	$236	79.0¢	Won
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?	Yes	$10	74.9¢	Lost
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	Yes	$86	60.4¢	Lost
Ole Miss vs. Georgia	Ole Miss	$20	37.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	Yes	$701	70.6¢	Won
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	Yes	$507	84.4¢	Won
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?	Yes	$100	18.9¢	Lost
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?	No	$839	44.7¢	Won

Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 53m?Lost
Yes$103 @ 9.9¢
Rams vs. SeahawksLost
Rams$140 @ 7.6¢
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Lost
Yes$773 @ 45.8¢
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?Won
Yes$93 @ 13.5¢
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Won
No$1.5k @ 76.8¢
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Lost
Yes$54 @ 7.4¢
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?Lost
Yes$12 @ 35.0¢
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?Lost
Yes$38 @ 15.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 42.6¢
Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Won
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
Yes$310 @ 12.2¢
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$14 @ 4.8¢
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?Won
Yes$386 @ 60.1¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Lost
Yes$268 @ 22.1¢
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?Lost
Yes$34 @ 12.0¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?Lost
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Won
Yes$584 @ 28.0¢
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?Won
Yes$10 @ 46.1¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Won
Yes$427 @ 42.8¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Lost
Yes$6.3k @ 47.0¢
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?Won
Yes$14 @ 23.9¢
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 88.2¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
No$321 @ 61.4¢
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Won
Yes$933 @ 77.9¢
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Lost
Yes$323 @ 13.8¢
Will "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?Lost
Yes$253 @ 34.4¢
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?Won
No$17 @ 34.0¢
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?Lost
Yes$243 @ 22.1¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?Lost
Yes$43 @ 0.7¢
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?Lost
Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7.5m and 8m?Won
Yes$158 @ 28.9¢
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?Won
Yes$110 @ 70.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?Won
Yes$481 @ 79.9¢
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13.5m?Lost
Yes$134 @ 26.9¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $17m?Lost
Yes$16 @ 13.9¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLost
Patriots$32 @ 32.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 89.5¢
Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?Lost
No$9 @ 0.7¢
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?Lost
Yes$80 @ 11.0¢
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)Lost
Indiana$322 @ 46.0¢
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Won
Yes$236 @ 79.0¢
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?Lost
Yes$10 @ 74.9¢
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?Lost
Yes$86 @ 60.4¢
Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaWon
Ole Miss$20 @ 37.0¢
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?Won
Yes$701 @ 70.6¢
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?Won
Yes$507 @ 84.4¢
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?Lost
Yes$100 @ 18.9¢
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?Won
No$839 @ 44.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Culture	Yes	$340	65.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Culture	No	$149	66.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Culture	Yes	$100	25.0¢
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$86	4.3¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Culture	Yes	$16	39.0¢

Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Culture
Yes$340 @ 65.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Culture
No$149 @ 66.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Culture
Yes$100 @ 25.0¢
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$86 @ 4.3¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture
Yes$16 @ 39.0¢