← Smart money
0xbdd1…0c4f
SharpEdge
+19.4pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
44% @ 24.6¢
Brier
0.220
Resolved
714
Avg size
$13
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 29% (6/21) | +159% | 21 |
| Other | 47% (7/15) | -67% | 15 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports21 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (6/21)
- ROI
- +159%
- Other15 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (7/15)
- ROI
- -67%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 14/38- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Lakers$171 @ 74.6¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.5¢
- Lakers$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$241 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$375 @ 27.4¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.5¢
- No$1.9k @ 11.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$165 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$255 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$325 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$91 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$128 @ 42.3¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 14.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 2.3¢
- Thunder$231 @ 11.5¢
- Lakers$24 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 52.2¢
- No$595 @ 64.2¢
- Yes$145 @ 25.0¢
- Lakers$43 @ 12.0¢
- Hawks vs. KnicksLostKnicks$109 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$121 @ 3.0¢
- No$120 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 87.3¢
- Illinois Fighting Illini$1.9k @ 15.8¢
- Yes$273 @ 72.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$2.6k @ 77.7¢
- Yes$362 @ 19.3¢
- No$297 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$169 @ 71.3¢
- No$137 @ 38.7¢
- Yes$129 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$57 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$36 @ 32.7¢
- Yes$34 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 41.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 5.4¢
- No$28 @ 94.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.2¢
- Yes$18 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$17 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?PoliticsYes$2 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢