0xbdbb…084e

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other37 bets

  Hit rate

  35% (13/37)

  ROI

  +16%

• Politics18 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (9/18)

  ROI

  +16%

• Crypto6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +304%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  -3%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -95%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -30%

• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$148 @ 46.1¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$6.1k @ 58.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7.5k @ 26.2¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 62.5¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$4.4k @ 86.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$691 @ 36.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$3.3k @ 68.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 20.2¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$2.5k @ 2.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$3.8k @ 35.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.6k @ 42.6¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$225 @ 45.0¢
• Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
  No$139 @ 0.6¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$877 @ 61.1¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
  No$290 @ 2.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
  No$900 @ 88.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$1.4k @ 73.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 31.1¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 4.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
  No$1.8k @ 6.8¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
  Yes$1000 @ 72.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$6.3k @ 32.2¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Lost
  No$170 @ 17.0¢
• Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
  No$90 @ 0.9¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
  No$1.1k @ 76.3¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
  Yes$76 @ 3.2¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 82.8¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$600 @ 60.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$1.3k @ 58.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.9k @ 72.3¢
• UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
  Tatsuro Taira$120 @ 60.0¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Lost
  No$1 @ 13.0¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Won
  Yes$150 @ 84.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
  No$2.8k @ 42.5¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 45.2¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.8k @ 29.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$374 @ 10.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
• Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 34.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$7.2k @ 66.3¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Won
  Yes$1000 @ 90.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$3.8k @ 80.1¢
• Will France win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$116 @ 5.8¢
• Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$389 @ 3.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Lost
  Yes$192 @ 2.3¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
  No$350 @ 70.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Lost
  Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$760 @ 76.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 79.0¢

Current positions

• Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$504 @ 27.6¢
• Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
• Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
• Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
• Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
• Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
• Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
• Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.8¢