← Smart money
0xbdbb…084e
SharpEdge
+13.9pp
ROI
+36%
Win rate
55% @ 41.0¢
Brier
0.170
Resolved
663
Avg size
$170
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 35% (13/37) | +12% | 37 |
| Politics | 47% (8/17) | +19% | 17 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +304% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 40% (2/5) | -3% | 5 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -30% | 3 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +117% | 1 |
- Other37 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (13/37)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (8/17)
- ROI
- +19%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +304%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -3%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -30%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +117%
Track record
41% hit · 28/69- Yes$148 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
- No$6.1k @ 58.7¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 26.2¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 62.5¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 86.9¢
- Yes$691 @ 36.5¢
- No$3.3k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 20.2¢
- No$2.1k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$60 @ 0.6¢
- No$3.8k @ 35.1¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 42.6¢
- Yes$225 @ 45.0¢
- No$139 @ 0.6¢
- No$877 @ 61.1¢
- No$290 @ 2.9¢
- No$900 @ 88.8¢
- No$1.4k @ 73.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 31.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 4.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 6.8¢
- Yes$1000 @ 72.1¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 32.2¢
- No$170 @ 17.0¢
- No$90 @ 0.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 76.3¢
- Yes$76 @ 3.2¢
- No$5.5k @ 22.5¢
- Yes$10.7k @ 66.5¢
- Yes$600 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 58.7¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 72.3¢
- Tatsuro Taira$120 @ 60.0¢
- No$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 84.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 42.5¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 45.2¢
- No$311 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 29.1¢
- No$374 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 34.4¢
- No$7.2k @ 66.3¢
- Yes$1000 @ 90.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 80.1¢
- Yes$116 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$389 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$192 @ 2.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Politics | No | $380 | 95.0¢ |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $235 | 30.5¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $154 | 5.1¢ |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Sports | No | $122 | 35.0¢ |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $27 | 52.0¢ |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.7¢ |
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsNo$380 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$235 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$154 @ 5.1¢
- No$122 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢