← Smart money
0xbd7e…875d
SharpEdge
+1.5pp
ROI
+115%
Win rate
4% @ 2.2¢
Brier
0.021
Resolved
565
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 11% (4/36) | +337% | 36 |
| Crypto | 17% (5/30) | -37% | 30 |
| Tech | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other36 bets
- Hit rate
- 11% (4/36)
- ROI
- +337%
- Crypto30 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (5/30)
- ROI
- -37%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
12% hit · 9/75- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$25 @ 1.1¢
- No$5 @ 3.3¢
- No$26 @ 8.5¢
- No$2 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
- No$2 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.5¢
- No$33 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$78 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 79.1¢
- No$108 @ 73.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$46 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.4¢
- No$2 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.3¢
- No$12 @ 8.0¢
- No$10 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$32 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.4¢
- No$8 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
- No$21 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.7¢
- No$2 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- No$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$8 @ 11.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$50 @ 1.3¢
- No$4 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- No$16 @ 16.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $141 | 0.3¢ |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $85 | 3.9¢ |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $78 | 78.1¢ |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.3¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | Crypto | Yes | $65 | 32.5¢ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $62 | 1.2¢ |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Economy | Yes | $59 | 0.6¢ |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Economy | Yes | $58 | 0.1¢ |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $30 | 0.1¢ |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $30 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ |
- Yes$141 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$85 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$78 @ 78.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$65 @ 32.5¢
- Yes$62 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$59 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$58 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.1¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$2 @ 0.6¢