0xbd7d…4d56

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbd7db3725a0fa1589dd76519dc08a983555b4d56
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.2pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

74% @ 48.4¢

Brier

0.193

Resolved

1027

Avg size

$195

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (58/114)	+14%	114
Politics	75% (6/8)	+27%	8
Culture	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other114 bets
Hit rate
51% (58/114)
ROI
+14%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+27%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Track record

53% hit · 65/123

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$68	1.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18?	No	$270	13.5¢	Won
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	No	$249	83.0¢	Won
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	$99	84.1¢	Won
Missouri vs. Auburn	Auburn	$68	33.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 1?	Yes	$177	13.0¢	Lost
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	$18	82.0¢	Won
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	$8	15.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	No	$1.5k	38.8¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$293	54.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Pelicans	Spurs	$50	62.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$112	52.7¢	Won
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?	No	$565	67.9¢	Won
Panthers vs. Jets	Panthers	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Raiders vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$1.7k	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$210	21.0¢	Won
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?	No	$49	85.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3600 on July 20 at 5PM ET?	No	$96	2.3¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	78.2¢	Won
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?	No	$81	89.2¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$6.4k	87.5¢	Won
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?	No	$56	17.7¢	Lost
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Lost
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?	Yes	$201	86.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 20?	Yes	$120	6.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$528	27.4¢	Won
Bitcoin above $115K on August 22 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$234	18.0¢	Won
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	No	$1.7k	50.1¢	Lost
Phillies vs. Rangers	Rangers	$11	21.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?	No	$866	20.6¢	Lost
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?	No	$35	55.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	No	$17	39.0¢	Won
Will BUF/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?	No	$116	73.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $124K July 14–20?	Yes	$710	35.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4600 on August 25 at 4PM ET?	No	$373	46.6¢	Lost
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?	No	$657	39.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?	Yes	$1.7k	70.0¢	Lost
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance)	Dortmund	$577	15.9¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	$318	75.8¢	Won
Will Lebron James retire before July?	Yes	$2.9k	48.7¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	Yes	$227	75.0¢	Won
Will José Ramírez win the 2025 AL MVP?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	No	$201	86.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	$129	43.0¢	Lost
Will DEN/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?	No	$54	73.0¢	Lost
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?	Yes	$218	87.0¢	Won
Louisville vs. Miami	Miami	$195	65.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?	Yes	$452	51.9¢	Lost
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$1.3k	45.8¢	Lost

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Lost
No$68 @ 1.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18?Won
No$270 @ 13.5¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
No$249 @ 83.0¢
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Won
No$99 @ 84.1¢
Missouri vs. AuburnLost
Auburn$68 @ 33.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 1?Lost
Yes$177 @ 13.0¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Won
No$18 @ 82.0¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Lost
No$1.5k @ 38.8¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$293 @ 54.0¢
Spurs vs. PelicansWon
Spurs$50 @ 62.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$112 @ 52.7¢
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Won
No$565 @ 67.9¢
Panthers vs. JetsWon
Panthers$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Raiders vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$1.7k @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Won
No$210 @ 21.0¢
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Won
No$49 @ 85.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3600 on July 20 at 5PM ET?Lost
No$96 @ 2.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 78.2¢
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Won
No$81 @ 89.2¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
No$6.4k @ 87.5¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?Lost
No$56 @ 17.7¢
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw?Lost
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?Won
Yes$201 @ 86.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 20?Lost
Yes$120 @ 6.0¢
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Won
Yes$528 @ 27.4¢
Bitcoin above $115K on August 22 at 4PM ET?Won
Yes$234 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Lost
No$1.7k @ 50.1¢
Phillies vs. RangersLost
Rangers$11 @ 21.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?Lost
No$866 @ 20.6¢
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?Won
No$35 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Won
No$17 @ 39.0¢
Will BUF/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?Won
No$116 @ 73.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $124K July 14–20?Lost
Yes$710 @ 35.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4600 on August 25 at 4PM ET?Lost
No$373 @ 46.6¢
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?Lost
No$657 @ 39.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 70.0¢
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) Lost
Dortmund $577 @ 15.9¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Won
No$318 @ 75.8¢
Will Lebron James retire before July?Lost
Yes$2.9k @ 48.7¢
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Won
Yes$227 @ 75.0¢
Will José Ramírez win the 2025 AL MVP?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Won
No$201 @ 86.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Lost
Yes$129 @ 43.0¢
Will DEN/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?Lost
No$54 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?Won
Yes$218 @ 87.0¢
Louisville vs. MiamiLost
Miami$195 @ 65.0¢
Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?Lost
Yes$452 @ 51.9¢
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 45.8¢

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