0xbd5c…62bb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbd5c3a956f616174ff737c63087fb9f883ea62bb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-7.0pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

1% @ 8.2¢

Brier

0.022

Resolved

777

Avg size

$71

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (2/12)	+21%	12
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
+21%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

15% hit · 2/13

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$48	14.0¢	Lost
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?	Yes	$882	14.2¢	Lost
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?	Yes	$2.4k	22.8¢	Lost
Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	$4.1k	0.1¢	Lost
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?	Yes	$3.0k	29.1¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	Yes	$21.0k	88.1¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?	Yes	$1.3k	8.0¢	Lost
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$174	6.6¢	Lost
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?	Yes	$489	1.0¢	Lost
Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?	Yes	$50	0.1¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$20.4k	47.1¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$654	44.5¢	Lost
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	$1.0k	5.1¢	Lost

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$48 @ 14.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$882 @ 14.2¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 22.8¢
Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 0.1¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 29.1¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Won
Yes$21.0k @ 88.1¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 8.0¢
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Lost
Yes$174 @ 6.6¢
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$489 @ 1.0¢
Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?Lost
Yes$50 @ 0.1¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Won
Yes$20.4k @ 47.1¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Lost
Yes$654 @ 44.5¢
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 5.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$48	14.0¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$48 @ 14.0¢