0xbd31…8004

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbd3159fee50dcd5b3efe437879b3eaef2e998004
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.0pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

49% @ 43.9¢

Brier

0.211

Resolved

1237

Avg size

$54

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (216/391)	+37%	391
Sports	29% (4/14)	-55%	14
Culture	100% (3/3)	+15%	3
Politics	100% (2/2)	+42%	2

Other391 bets
Hit rate
55% (216/391)
ROI
+37%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
-55%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+15%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+42%

Track record

55% hit · 225/410

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?	No	$529	78.6¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?	Yes	$697	92.2¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman in a 3rd timeframe?	Yes	$110	99.9¢	Won
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner	Leviatán Esports	$208	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	No	$24	48.0¢	Won
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs	Team Envy	$53	53.0¢	Lost
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	KRÜ Esports	$1	32.0¢	Won
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Natus Vincere	$72	48.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	$76	33.9¢	Lost
Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$74	74.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$177	87.2¢	Won
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches	XLG Gaming	$442	59.0¢	Won
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	FlyQuest	$547	62.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$1.1k	8.9¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$33	3.3¢	Lost
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs	M80	$151	7.5¢	Lost
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	NRG	$60	49.0¢	Lost
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	Paper Rex	$509	46.4¢	Won
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	$22	52.0¢	Won
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	SaD Esports	$127	0.4¢	Lost
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage	FlyQuest	$140	45.7¢	Won
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	$272	68.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner	Team Liquid	$98	36.9¢	Won
Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage	Shopify Rebellion Black	$115	60.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	$237	86.9¢	Won
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Team Secret	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Azure Dragon Gaming	$7	31.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$0	5.9¢	Lost
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	NRG Academy	$185	37.0¢	Won
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	Rex Regum Qeon	$402	29.4¢	Lost
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage	Nightblood Gaming	$11	35.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner	Team Envy	$265	53.0¢	Won
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage	Paper Rex	$92	46.0¢	Won
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	TYLOO	$193	55.1¢	Lost
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$122	54.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	$527	45.9¢	Won
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Gen.G Esports	$100	40.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Overtime" or "Social Security" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	No	$0	9.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?	No	$32	76.0¢	Won
Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?	Yes	$3	64.0¢	Won
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Fnatic	$212	36.0¢	Won
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Karmine Corp	$177	59.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$108	54.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	Division One	$407	40.0¢	Won
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner	All Gamers	$29	21.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	NRG	$557	45.7¢	Lost
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	FULL SENSE	$340	68.0¢	Won
Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY - Map 2 Winner	Fancy United	$70	87.4¢	Won
Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY - Map 2 Winner	TrinitY	$69	86.8¢	Lost
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner	Paper Rex	$161	57.9¢	Lost

Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?Won
No$529 @ 78.6¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?Won
Yes$697 @ 92.2¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman in a 3rd timeframe?Won
Yes$110 @ 99.9¢
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerWon
Leviatán Esports$208 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
No$24 @ 48.0¢
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsLost
Team Envy$53 @ 53.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaWon
KRÜ Esports$1 @ 32.0¢
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsLost
Natus Vincere$72 @ 48.0¢
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerLost
Team Vitality$76 @ 33.9¢
Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Lost
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$177 @ 87.2¢
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking MatchesWon
XLG Gaming$442 @ 59.0¢
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsWon
FlyQuest$547 @ 62.6¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Won
Yes$1.1k @ 8.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 3.3¢
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America PlayoffsLost
M80$151 @ 7.5¢
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsLost
NRG$60 @ 49.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsWon
Paper Rex$509 @ 46.4¢
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 WinnerWon
NRG Academy$22 @ 52.0¢
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 WinnerLost
SaD Esports$127 @ 0.4¢
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group StageWon
FlyQuest$140 @ 45.7¢
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerLost
Fnatic$272 @ 68.0¢
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$98 @ 36.9¢
Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss StageLost
Shopify Rebellion Black$115 @ 60.0¢
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaWon
DRX$237 @ 86.9¢
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaLost
Team Secret$17 @ 17.0¢
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageLost
Azure Dragon Gaming$7 @ 31.0¢
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.9¢
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageWon
NRG Academy$185 @ 37.0¢
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaLost
Rex Regum Qeon$402 @ 29.4¢
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss StageLost
Nightblood Gaming$11 @ 35.0¢
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 WinnerWon
Team Envy$265 @ 53.0¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StageWon
Paper Rex$92 @ 46.0¢
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerLost
TYLOO$193 @ 55.1¢
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$122 @ 54.0¢
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaWon
DRX$527 @ 45.9¢
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaLost
Gen.G Esports$100 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Overtime" or "Social Security" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Lost
No$0 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?Won
No$32 @ 76.0¢
Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?Won
Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaWon
Fnatic$212 @ 36.0¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsWon
Karmine Corp$177 @ 59.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$108 @ 54.0¢
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsWon
Division One$407 @ 40.0¢
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerLost
All Gamers$29 @ 21.0¢
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsLost
NRG$557 @ 45.7¢
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaWon
FULL SENSE$340 @ 68.0¢
Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY - Map 2 WinnerWon
Fancy United$70 @ 87.4¢
Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY - Map 2 WinnerLost
TrinitY$69 @ 86.8¢
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerLost
Paper Rex$161 @ 57.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?	Culture	Yes	$697	92.2¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?	Culture	No	$529	78.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$18	92.0¢

Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?Culture
Yes$697 @ 92.2¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?Culture
No$529 @ 78.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$18 @ 92.0¢