0xbca8…b1a5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbca8842b0fa9fd3590dd3857dfee24abcaa5b1a5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

43% @ 33.5¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

1028

Avg size

$41

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (42/123)	+43%	123
Crypto	38% (6/16)	+14%	16
Sports	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other123 bets
Hit rate
34% (42/123)
ROI
+43%
Crypto16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
+14%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 48/148

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?	Down	$171	35.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?	No	$28	28.0¢	Won
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports - Map 1 Winner	GnG Amazigh	$1	0.1¢	Lost
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$10	77.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?	No	$222	48.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?	No	$8	49.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?	No	$3.0k	46.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?	No	$20	16.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?	No	$1.0k	25.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?	No	$386	52.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?	Yes	$15	33.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?	No	$13	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?	No	$3.1k	47.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?	No	$86	24.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 18?	No	$1.8k	47.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?	No	$32	16.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?	No	$22	36.1¢	Lost
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5	Over	$3	31.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?	No	$518	34.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22?	No	$50	7.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22?	No	$9	11.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$4	21.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8?	No	$36	36.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23?	No	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 15?	No	$108	18.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 30?	No	$15	34.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?	No	$919	28.6¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$101	11.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 24?	No	$35	35.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?	No	$284	49.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 26?	No	$501	45.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?	No	$701	24.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18?	No	$3.1k	42.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?	No	$9	35.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	No	$791	47.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?	No	$385	19.2¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?	Yes	$5	33.0¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?	No	$6	1.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?	No	$14	16.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 26?	No	$104	48.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?	No	$17	14.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	No	$49	17.3¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO1)	Colossal Gaming	$17	62.9¢	Won

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?Lost
Down$171 @ 35.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?Won
No$28 @ 28.0¢
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports - Map 1 WinnerLost
GnG Amazigh$1 @ 0.1¢
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$10 @ 77.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?Won
No$222 @ 48.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?Won
No$8 @ 49.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?Won
No$3.0k @ 46.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?Won
No$20 @ 16.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?Won
No$1.0k @ 25.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?Won
No$386 @ 52.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$15 @ 33.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?Lost
No$13 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?Won
No$3.1k @ 47.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?Lost
No$86 @ 24.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 18?Won
No$1.8k @ 47.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?Lost
No$32 @ 16.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?Lost
No$22 @ 36.1¢
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Won
Over$3 @ 31.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?Lost
No$518 @ 34.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22?Lost
No$50 @ 7.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22?Lost
No$9 @ 11.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8?Lost
No$36 @ 36.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23?Lost
No$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 15?Won
No$108 @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 30?Lost
No$15 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?Lost
No$919 @ 28.6¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?Lost
Yes$101 @ 11.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 24?Won
No$35 @ 35.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?Won
No$284 @ 49.0¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 26?Won
No$501 @ 45.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?Lost
No$701 @ 24.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18?Won
No$3.1k @ 42.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?Won
No$9 @ 35.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?Won
No$791 @ 47.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?Won
No$385 @ 19.2¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?Lost
Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?Lost
No$6 @ 1.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?Lost
No$14 @ 16.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 26?Won
No$104 @ 48.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?Lost
No$17 @ 14.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?Lost
No$49 @ 17.3¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO1)Won
Colossal Gaming$17 @ 62.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?	Crypto	No	$55	27.5¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?Crypto
No$55 @ 27.5¢