← Smart money
0xbc90…ab10
SharpEdge
+20.8pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
90% @ 69.5¢
Brier
0.119
Resolved
187
Avg size
$99
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 77% (10/13) | +27% | 13 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +27% | 1 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 77% (10/13)
- ROI
- +27%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +27%
Track record
79% hit · 11/14| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $411 | 87.5¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $5.2k | 80.5¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | $2.8k | 62.8¢ | Won |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | $1.5k | 86.5¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | $162 | 54.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | Yes | $640 | 73.9¢ | Won |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | No | $336 | 72.0¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1.2k | 79.0¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $791 | 49.4¢ | Lost |
| Will Vitality win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament? | Yes | $10 | 37.8¢ | Lost |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | No | $217 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $846 | 82.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | $1.2k | 85.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $3.2k | 65.6¢ | Won |
- No$411 @ 87.5¢
- No$5.2k @ 80.5¢
- No$2.8k @ 62.8¢
- No$1.5k @ 86.5¢
- No$162 @ 54.8¢
- Yes$640 @ 73.9¢
- No$336 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 79.0¢
- No$791 @ 49.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 37.8¢
- No$217 @ 86.0¢
- No$846 @ 82.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 85.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 65.6¢
Recent trades
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