0xbc62…4f5e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbc62c8cb817e8fc17a265e821c1cd5923a254f5e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.3pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

34% @ 22.6¢

Brier

0.170

Resolved

121

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	3% (2/75)	-41%	75
Other	24% (9/38)	-11%	38
Culture	100% (2/2)	+31%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+42%	1

Politics75 bets
Hit rate
3% (2/75)
ROI
-41%
Other38 bets
Hit rate
24% (9/38)
ROI
-11%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+42%

Track record

12% hit · 14/116

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$98	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$30	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$30	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$30	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$16	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$30	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$30	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	$750	50.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$96	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$72	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$59	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$93	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$88	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$95	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$74	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$2.5k	50.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$13	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$19	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$19	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$272	5.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$98 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$750 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$96 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$72 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$59 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$93 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$88 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$95 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$272 @ 5.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$811	22.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$47	41.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$45	4.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$27	2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Politics
Yes$811 @ 22.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$47 @ 41.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$45 @ 4.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$27 @ 2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢