← Smart money
0xbc58…5fd0
SharpEdge
+13.2pp
ROI
+70%
Win rate
29% @ 15.4¢
Brier
0.081
Resolved
992
Avg size
$31
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (4/9) | +70% | 9 |
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +70%
Track record
44% hit · 4/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Yes | $449 | 0.4¢ | Lost |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Yes | $35 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | $9.4k | 64.0¢ | Won |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $99 | 15.0¢ | Won |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%? | Yes | $5 | 15.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | $11.4k | 64.6¢ | Won |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | $330 | 33.0¢ | Lost |
| Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $350 | 35.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | $9.0k | 45.1¢ | Won |
- Yes$449 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$35 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$9.4k @ 64.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
- No$11.4k @ 64.6¢
- Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$9.0k @ 45.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $1.2k | 75.7¢ |
- Yes$1.2k @ 75.7¢