← Smart money
0xbc58…5fd0
SharpEdge
+11.9pp
ROI
+46%
Win rate
33% @ 21.0¢
Brier
0.091
Resolved
1143
Avg size
$38
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (6/11) | +72% | 11 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | -99% | 2 |
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (6/11)
- ROI
- +72%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -99%
Track record
54% hit · 7/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Yes | $449 | 0.4¢ | Lost |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Yes | $35 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | $9.4k | 64.0¢ | Won |
| Will Tisza win at least 120 seats? | Yes | $3.4k | 52.7¢ | Won |
| 0x40ba14f5… | Yes | $99 | 15.0¢ | Won |
| 0x5e53afc0… | Yes | $5 | 15.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | $11.4k | 64.6¢ | Won |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | $330 | 33.0¢ | Lost |
| 0xa8ead080… | Yes | $350 | 35.0¢ | Lost |
| 0xde38c515… | Yes | $9.0k | 45.1¢ | Won |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $313 | 62.0¢ | Won |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | Yes | $31 | 83.3¢ | Won |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | Yes | $2.5k | 37.5¢ | Lost |
- Yes$449 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$35 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$9.4k @ 64.0¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 52.7¢
- 0x40ba14f5…WonYes$99 @ 15.0¢
- 0x5e53afc0…LostYes$5 @ 15.0¢
- No$11.4k @ 64.6¢
- Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
- 0xa8ead080…LostYes$350 @ 35.0¢
- 0xde38c515…WonYes$9.0k @ 45.1¢
- Yes$313 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 37.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Politics | No | $20 | 99.5¢ |
- No$20 @ 99.5¢