← Smart money
0xbc26…15f9
ProfitableEdge
+14.5pp
ROI
+106%
Win rate
25% @ 10.2¢
Brier
0.217
Resolved
85
Avg size
$897
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 9% (2/22) | +110% | 22 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 9% (2/22)
- ROI
- +110%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
9% hit · 2/23- Yes$3.2k @ 2.1¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 8.8¢
- Yes$6.6k @ 50.5¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 5.3¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 0.4¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 1.7¢
- Yes$380 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 8.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 25.5¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 0.7¢
- Yes$13.9k @ 12.1¢
- Yes$755 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$13.1k @ 31.4¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 4.5¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 25.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 18.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 13.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 0.8¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 10.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $10.7k | 3.6¢ |
- Yes$10.7k @ 3.6¢