0xbc1d…e2ff

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbc1dcd7b21793ebbced7ab780c3b00d6a356e2ff
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.1pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

97% @ 77.8¢

Brier

0.068

Resolved

Avg size

$1.2k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	83% (5/6)	+22%	6
Geopolitics	100% (6/6)	+29%	6
Politics	100% (4/4)	+17%	4

Other6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+22%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+29%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+17%

Track record

94% hit · 15/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?	No	$142	88.8¢	Won
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	No	$724	87.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$2.9k	72.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$895	77.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	$4.4k	81.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$4.2k	77.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?	No	$539	85.5¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$6.9k	83.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	$844	76.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$500	60.6¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$2.3k	66.0¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	$1.7k	87.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$19	43.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	No	$30	87.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$7.9k	85.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$3.4k	79.3¢	Won

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?Won
No$142 @ 88.8¢
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Won
No$724 @ 87.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$2.9k @ 72.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$895 @ 77.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Won
No$4.4k @ 81.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$4.2k @ 77.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Won
No$539 @ 85.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$6.9k @ 83.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Won
No$844 @ 76.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$500 @ 60.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$2.3k @ 66.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Won
No$1.7k @ 87.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$19 @ 43.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Won
No$30 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$7.9k @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$3.4k @ 79.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$6.7k	78.8¢
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.6k	88.8¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.4k	92.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$6.7k @ 78.8¢
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$2.6k @ 88.8¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$2.4k @ 92.5¢