0xbc19…c313

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbc1925f257017a13825db862e84ccf7488ffc313
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.2pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

69% @ 54.1¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

176

Avg size

$118

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	57% (30/53)	+16%	53
Other	44% (16/36)	-5%	36
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Sports53 bets
Hit rate
57% (30/53)
ROI
+16%
Other36 bets
Hit rate
44% (16/36)
ROI
-5%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

51% hit · 46/91

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5	Over	$63	58.0¢	Lost
Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	$300	75.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	$200	49.3¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance	Ecuador	$152	38.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	$25	61.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	$5	39.0¢	Lost
Spread: Canada (-5.5)	Qatar	$10	41.9¢	Lost
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$491	54.5¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	$280	70.0¢	Lost
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance	Germany	$200	86.0¢	Lost
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$509	72.7¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$10	63.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	$302	80.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$264	25.9¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$316	79.0¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$20	29.0¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$215	26.3¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$20	61.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$247	61.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$102	32.5¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$288	66.6¢	Won
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$443	46.1¢	Won
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$10	24.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$502	89.0¢	Won
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$224	74.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$67	1.3¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	$202	57.8¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$528	66.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$265	53.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$102	24.7¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	$291	57.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$247	48.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	$102	31.8¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$847	62.1¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$304	61.1¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$320	40.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	$120	40.0¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	$565	55.3¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	57.6¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$173	86.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$20	48.0¢	Lost
Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	$304	59.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$751	74.7¢	Won
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$20	28.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$195	64.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	$243	58.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$1.1k	74.7¢	Won

Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Lost
Over$63 @ 58.0¢
Argentina to win the second half?Lost
Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$200 @ 49.3¢
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceLost
Ecuador$152 @ 38.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETLost
Up$25 @ 61.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETLost
Down$5 @ 39.0¢
Spread: Canada (-5.5)Lost
Qatar$10 @ 41.9¢
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$491 @ 54.5¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?Lost
Yes$280 @ 70.0¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceLost
Germany$200 @ 86.0¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$509 @ 72.7¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$302 @ 80.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$264 @ 25.9¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$316 @ 79.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$20 @ 29.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$215 @ 26.3¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$20 @ 61.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$247 @ 61.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$102 @ 32.5¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$288 @ 66.6¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$443 @ 46.1¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$502 @ 89.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWon
Canada$224 @ 74.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$67 @ 1.3¢
France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$202 @ 57.8¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$528 @ 66.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$265 @ 53.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$102 @ 24.7¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?Lost
Yes$291 @ 57.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$247 @ 48.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 31.8¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$847 @ 62.1¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Won
Yes$304 @ 61.1¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWon
Switzerland$320 @ 40.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Won
Yes$120 @ 40.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
England$565 @ 55.3¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 57.6¢
Will England win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$173 @ 86.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Lost
Yes$20 @ 48.0¢
Argentina leading at halftime?Won
Yes$304 @ 59.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$751 @ 74.7¢
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$195 @ 64.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?Won
Yes$243 @ 58.0¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$1.1k @ 74.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$685	23.6¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	—	England	$552	55.2¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Sports	No	$552	84.5¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	—	Brazil	$544	68.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	Sports	Yes	$500	37.2¢
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$491	54.5¢
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$430	21.5¢
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$390	78.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	—	Yes	$317	63.4¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	—	Over	$300	60.0¢
Argentina to win the second half?	—	Yes	$300	75.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$285	57.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$280	70.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	—	Switzerland	$259	25.9¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	—	Netherlands	$244	61.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Sports	Yes	$243	48.6¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$236	59.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	—	Yes	$204	51.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	—	Over	$200	49.3¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance	—	Germany	$200	86.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	—	France	$195	39.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	—	Yes	$192	64.0¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29?	—	Yes	$180	45.0¢
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance	—	Ecuador	$152	38.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Under	$126	63.0¢
Rayan Cherki: Anytime Goalscorer	—	Yes	$120	30.0¢
Portugal leading at halftime?	—	Yes	$111	37.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?	—	Yes	$108	54.0¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Sports	No	$102	51.0¢
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5	—	Under	$100	64.0¢

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$685 @ 23.6¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance—
England$552 @ 55.2¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Sports
No$552 @ 84.5¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance—
Brazil$544 @ 68.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?Sports
Yes$500 @ 37.2¢
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$491 @ 54.5¢
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$430 @ 21.5¢
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5—
Under$390 @ 78.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?—
Yes$317 @ 63.4¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5—
Over$300 @ 60.0¢
Argentina to win the second half?—
Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$285 @ 57.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$280 @ 70.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance—
Switzerland$259 @ 25.9¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance—
Netherlands$244 @ 61.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Sports
Yes$243 @ 48.6¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$236 @ 59.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?—
Yes$204 @ 51.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5—
Over$200 @ 49.3¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance—
Germany$200 @ 86.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance—
France$195 @ 39.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?—
Yes$192 @ 64.0¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29?—
Yes$180 @ 45.0¢
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance—
Ecuador$152 @ 38.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Under$126 @ 63.0¢
Rayan Cherki: Anytime Goalscorer—
Yes$120 @ 30.0¢
Portugal leading at halftime?—
Yes$111 @ 37.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?—
Yes$108 @ 54.0¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreSports
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5—
Under$100 @ 64.0¢