0xbbf4…3b45

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbbf4d9f5078167e354937523c28dd4b4665d3b45
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.4pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

27% @ 24.6¢

Brier

0.139

Resolved

2783

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (282/886)	+24%	886
Politics	28% (21/74)	-17%	74
Sports	29% (8/28)	-2%	28
Science	29% (2/7)	-65%	7
Crypto	33% (1/3)	-69%	3

Other886 bets
Hit rate
32% (282/886)
ROI
+24%
Politics74 bets
Hit rate
28% (21/74)
ROI
-17%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
29% (8/28)
ROI
-2%
Science7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
-65%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-69%

Track record

31% hit · 314/998

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$14	9.8¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	$3	2.3¢	Lost
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Zeynep Sonmez vs Sara Bejlek	Bejlek	$17	87.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	$151	22.9¢	Won
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	$57	73.3¢	Won
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$16	25.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	$14	4.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	$40	29.2¢	Lost
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	Yes	$28	23.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 28?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$2	3.8¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Kolkata Knight Riders	$11	57.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	$43	67.3¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$8	16.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5	Over	$33	51.2¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$24	78.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?	Yes	$15	9.7¢	Lost
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$10	3.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	Yes	$7	8.7¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	$24	48.0¢	Won
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$32	60.0¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	$3	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on March 25?	Yes	$30	76.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	$38	76.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	$7	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on April 17?	Yes	$11	48.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$13	26.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 29?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Suns	Pelicans	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 18?	Yes	$4	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 30?	No	$44	86.3¢	Won
Illawarra Hawks vs. Perth Wildcats	Illawarra Hawks	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Wizards vs. Nets	Wizards	$20	33.0¢	Lost
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)	Ireland	$3	31.0¢	Lost
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)	Sri Lanka	$56	80.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	$6	80.0¢	Won
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)	Italy	$116	79.9¢	Won
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)	Nepal	$40	71.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
Heat vs. Suns: O/U 224.5	Over	$33	48.5¢	Lost

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 9.8¢
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.3¢
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Zeynep Sonmez vs Sara BejlekWon
Bejlek$17 @ 87.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Won
No$151 @ 22.9¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Won
No$57 @ 73.3¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$16 @ 25.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 4.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 29.2¢
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Won
Yes$28 @ 23.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Pacers vs. BucksWon
Bucks$5 @ 48.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadLost
Kolkata Knight Riders$11 @ 57.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Won
No$43 @ 67.3¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5Won
Over$33 @ 51.2¢
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$24 @ 78.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 9.7¢
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 8.7¢
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
No$24 @ 48.0¢
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 60.0¢
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on March 25?Won
Yes$30 @ 76.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Won
No$38 @ 76.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on April 17?Won
Yes$11 @ 48.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$13 @ 26.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 29?Won
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Pelicans vs. SunsLost
Pelicans$5 @ 37.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 18?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 30?Won
No$44 @ 86.3¢
Illawarra Hawks vs. Perth WildcatsLost
Illawarra Hawks$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Wizards vs. NetsLost
Wizards$20 @ 33.0¢
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)Lost
Ireland$3 @ 31.0¢
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)Won
Sri Lanka$56 @ 80.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 80.0¢
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)Won
Italy$116 @ 79.9¢
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)Lost
Nepal$40 @ 71.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Heat vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Lost
Over$33 @ 48.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$127	83.4¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$99	28.6¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$58	16.1¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Politics	No	$20	14.0¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	No	$0	15.0¢

Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$127 @ 83.4¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$99 @ 28.6¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$58 @ 16.1¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Politics
No$20 @ 14.0¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
No$0 @ 15.0¢