0xbbea…e2b0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbbea56528e414e3a494c5bc23d93770cc91ae2b0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.9pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

55% @ 44.7¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

500

Avg size

$253

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (60/152)	+10%	152
Politics	67% (6/9)	+21%	9
Sports	20% (1/5)	-96%	5
Tech	25% (1/4)	-98%	4
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	+41%	3
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other152 bets
Hit rate
39% (60/152)
ROI
+10%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
67% (6/9)
ROI
+21%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-96%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-98%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+41%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 70/174

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	$3.9k	49.5¢	Lost
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	$937	59.4¢	Lost
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	$47	47.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	$13.6k	92.0¢	Won
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	Yes	$15	17.1¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	$160	61.0¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	$182	71.5¢	Lost
Solana Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ET	Down	$30	57.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	$80	52.3¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	$51	20.8¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	$10	12.6¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ET	Down	$50	43.9¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	$20	26.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	$20	36.5¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	$20	27.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	$20	22.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	$50	58.9¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	$10	73.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ET	Down	$100	68.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	$20	81.5¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	$20	68.3¢	Lost
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	$20	20.5¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	$690	92.0¢	Won
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	$3	3.3¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$20	45.1¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$38	2.1¢	Lost
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$66	33.0¢	Lost
Yoon arrested before September?	No	$30	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 9?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Lost
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	No	$168	21.0¢	Lost
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	$100	89.7¢	Won
DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?	No	$3	5.1¢	Lost
Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	$27	29.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$890	8.9¢	Lost
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?	Yes	$25	12.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?	No	$36	71.0¢	Won
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?	No	$104	26.0¢	Lost
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$100	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 10?	Yes	$15	51.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Iran" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?	No	$22	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$10	87.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$100	73.0¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$359	31.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?	No	$46	65.8¢	Won
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)	Team Heretics	$7	49.0¢	Won
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner	Bushido Wildcats	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	$450	45.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?	No	$200	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?	No	$186	55.0¢	Won
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)	SK Gaming	$72	10.8¢	Lost

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Lost
No$3.9k @ 49.5¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Lost
No$937 @ 59.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Won
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Won
No$13.6k @ 92.0¢
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?Lost
Yes$15 @ 17.1¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETLost
Up$160 @ 61.0¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETLost
Down$182 @ 71.5¢
Solana Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ETLost
Down$30 @ 57.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETLost
Up$80 @ 52.3¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETLost
Up$51 @ 20.8¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETLost
Down$10 @ 12.6¢
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ETLost
Down$50 @ 43.9¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETLost
Down$20 @ 26.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETLost
Down$20 @ 36.5¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETLost
Up$20 @ 27.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETLost
Down$20 @ 22.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETLost
Up$50 @ 58.9¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETLost
Down$10 @ 73.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 68.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETLost
Up$20 @ 81.5¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETLost
Up$20 @ 68.3¢
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETLost
Down$20 @ 20.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Won
Yes$690 @ 92.0¢
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$20 @ 45.1¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$38 @ 2.1¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
Yoon arrested before September?Lost
No$30 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 9?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Lost
No$168 @ 21.0¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
No$100 @ 89.7¢
DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?Lost
No$3 @ 5.1¢
Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Lost
No$27 @ 29.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$890 @ 8.9¢
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Lost
Yes$25 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?Won
No$36 @ 71.0¢
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Lost
No$104 @ 26.0¢
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$100 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 10?Won
Yes$15 @ 51.2¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?Won
No$22 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Lost
Yes$10 @ 87.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$100 @ 73.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$359 @ 31.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?Won
No$46 @ 65.8¢
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)Won
Team Heretics$7 @ 49.0¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerWon
Bushido Wildcats$4 @ 80.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Won
Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Won
No$200 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?Won
No$186 @ 55.0¢
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)Lost
SK Gaming$72 @ 10.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$26.9k	70.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	—	No	$4.9k	34.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Tech	No	$3.9k	49.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	No	$3.1k	90.3¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Culture	No	$1.6k	22.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	—	No	$1.4k	9.5¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	—	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025	—	No	$852	5.4¢
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?	—	Yes	$629	78.0¢
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?	Politics	Yes	$488	6.4¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$476	27.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Business	No	$426	18.9¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Culture	Yes	$347	31.8¢
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	—	Yes	$262	64.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	—	No	$244	2.8¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	—	Down	$182	71.5¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	—	No	$168	21.0¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	—	Up	$160	61.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	—	No	$146	67.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?	—	Yes	$128	64.0¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)	—	EDward Gaming	$124	62.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ET	—	Down	$100	68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?	—	No	$91	45.1¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	No	$85	85.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	—	Up	$80	52.3¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)	—	Movistar KOI	$80	51.7¢
Will EA say "EA Sports FC" during earnings call?	—	Yes	$75	8.6¢
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)	—	SK Gaming	$72	10.8¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	—	No	$68	7.6¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$66	33.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$26.9k @ 70.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?—
No$4.9k @ 34.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Tech
No$3.9k @ 49.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
No$3.1k @ 90.3¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
No$1.6k @ 22.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?—
No$1.4k @ 9.5¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?—
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025—
No$852 @ 5.4¢
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?—
Yes$629 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?Politics
Yes$488 @ 6.4¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Business
No$476 @ 27.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Business
No$426 @ 18.9¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Culture
Yes$347 @ 31.8¢
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?—
Yes$262 @ 64.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?—
No$244 @ 2.8¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET—
Down$182 @ 71.5¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025—
No$168 @ 21.0¢
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET—
Up$160 @ 61.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?—
No$146 @ 67.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?—
Yes$128 @ 64.0¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)—
EDward Gaming$124 @ 62.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ET—
Down$100 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?—
No$91 @ 45.1¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET—
Up$80 @ 52.3¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)—
Movistar KOI$80 @ 51.7¢
Will EA say "EA Sports FC" during earnings call?—
Yes$75 @ 8.6¢
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)—
SK Gaming$72 @ 10.8¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?—
No$68 @ 7.6¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$66 @ 33.0¢