0xbbd2…9b1a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbbd2c54de2ef3c337b5a9b221a54981ba22d9b1a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+56%

Win rate

37% @ 27.8¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

554

Avg size

$73

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (21/37)	+61%	37
Politics	30% (3/10)	+31%	10
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other37 bets
Hit rate
57% (21/37)
ROI
+61%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
+31%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 24/48

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$151	14.6¢	Lost
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$2.5k	84.0¢	Won
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?	Yes	$38	85.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?	Yes	$639	75.6¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$2.5k	81.9¢	Won
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	7.4¢	Lost
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?	Yes	$14	83.0¢	Won
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$1.9k	16.0¢	Won
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	$1.6k	59.9¢	Won
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?	No	$33	72.0¢	Won
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?	Yes	$2.0k	68.4¢	Lost
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?	No	$1	82.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	Yes	$4	6.5¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$880	87.5¢	Won
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	Yes	$435	29.0¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	$1.2k	60.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$57	57.0¢	Won
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$544	68.0¢	Won
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$97	53.8¢	Lost
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$0	2.8¢	Lost
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?	Yes	$755	26.9¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$831	13.2¢	Won
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	$208	83.0¢	Won
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	$875	25.0¢	Lost
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$3.5k	71.0¢	Won
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Lost
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	$2.4k	77.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$26	1.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$460	46.0¢	Won
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$5.1k	74.3¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$3.3k	55.0¢	Won
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$1.5k	15.0¢	Won
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$91	13.0¢	Lost
Will Eric Adams drop out?	Yes	$570	57.0¢	Won
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$30	12.0¢	Lost
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	$353	33.0¢	Lost
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$1.2k	19.4¢	Lost
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$446	4.4¢	Lost
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?	Yes	$0	4.3¢	Lost
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?	Yes	$277	79.5¢	Won
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?	No	$40	3.9¢	Lost
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	$1.3k	37.9¢	Won
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?	Yes	$1.3k	39.2¢	Won
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$111	74.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$286	11.4¢	Lost
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$109	10.5¢	Lost
Trump out as President by March 31?	Yes	$790	8.1¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$151 @ 14.6¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$2.5k @ 84.0¢
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?Won
Yes$38 @ 85.0¢
Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Won
Yes$639 @ 75.6¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 81.9¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 7.4¢
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Won
Yes$14 @ 83.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$1.9k @ 16.0¢
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 59.9¢
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Won
No$33 @ 72.0¢
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 68.4¢
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?Won
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.5¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
Yes$880 @ 87.5¢
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Lost
Yes$435 @ 29.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 60.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$57 @ 57.0¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Won
Yes$544 @ 68.0¢
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
Yes$97 @ 53.8¢
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.8¢
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Lost
Yes$755 @ 26.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
Yes$831 @ 13.2¢
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
Yes$208 @ 83.0¢
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Lost
No$875 @ 25.0¢
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 71.0¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 77.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$26 @ 1.7¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$5.1k @ 74.3¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 55.0¢
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 15.0¢
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
Yes$91 @ 13.0¢
Will Eric Adams drop out?Won
Yes$570 @ 57.0¢
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
Yes$30 @ 12.0¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Lost
Yes$353 @ 33.0¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 19.4¢
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$446 @ 4.4¢
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.3¢
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?Won
Yes$277 @ 79.5¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?Lost
No$40 @ 3.9¢
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 37.9¢
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 39.2¢
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Won
Yes$111 @ 74.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$286 @ 11.4¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
No$109 @ 10.5¢
Trump out as President by March 31?Lost
Yes$790 @ 8.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	59.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	80.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$976	64.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$253	68.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$76	12.6¢
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$19	78.0¢
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$16	16.0¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 59.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 80.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$976 @ 64.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$253 @ 68.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$76 @ 12.6¢
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?Politics
Yes$19 @ 78.0¢
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢