0xbb9f…557b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbb9f224569285cb57f433bbe2e71f9b8a11b557b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

41% @ 32.0¢

Brier

0.221

Resolved

971

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (57/141)	-2%	141
Science	46% (17/37)	+14%	37
Sports	43% (10/23)	-14%	23
Politics	33% (5/15)	+48%	15
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-87%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other141 bets
Hit rate
40% (57/141)
ROI
-2%
Science37 bets
Hit rate
46% (17/37)
ROI
+14%
Sports23 bets
Hit rate
43% (10/23)
ROI
-14%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
+48%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-87%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

41% hit · 90/219

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Austria (-1.5)	Israel	$80	57.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	No	$37	44.0¢	Lost
Will Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-24?	No	$63	25.3¢	Lost
Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5	Over	$1	27.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group B	Rebels Gaming	$80	51.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group B	largadosypelados	$41	51.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage	MIBR fe	$31	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 24?	No	$130	77.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24?	No	$17	50.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	$2	31.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 24?	No	$182	48.3¢	Lost
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B	CTBC Flying Oyster Academy	$6	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	No	$45	33.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?	No	$49	76.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?	No	$327	39.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Won
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Won
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	$79	26.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Brute	$47	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23?	No	$63	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23?	Yes	$23	25.9¢	Won
San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov	Alex Rybakov	$24	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?	No	$206	51.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?	Yes	$19	71.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$12	10.8¢	Lost
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-06?	No	$79	65.0¢	Won
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	$37	12.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	No	$8	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	$34	31.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	$0	10.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$784	67.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$177	18.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?	No	$27	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?	Yes	$23	25.5¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	No	$31	67.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19?	No	$12	69.0¢	Won
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$66	16.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)	Hokori	$175	38.7¢	Lost
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)	MOUZ	$68	53.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	$0	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?	No	$7	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	$33	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	Yes	$15	18.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs	3DMAX	$77	42.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 23?	No	$40	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	No	$5	22.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	$5	20.1¢	Lost
LoL: Verdant vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner	Verdant	$70	87.0¢	Won

Spread: Austria (-1.5)Lost
Israel$80 @ 57.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?Lost
No$37 @ 44.0¢
Will Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-24?Lost
No$63 @ 25.3¢
Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Won
Over$1 @ 27.0¢
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group BWon
Rebels Gaming$80 @ 51.0¢
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group BLost
largadosypelados$41 @ 51.0¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group StageWon
MIBR fe$31 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 24?Won
No$130 @ 77.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24?Won
No$17 @ 50.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 24?Lost
No$182 @ 48.3¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group BLost
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy$6 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on August 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?Won
No$45 @ 33.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?Won
No$49 @ 76.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?Lost
No$327 @ 39.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?Won
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-06?Won
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Lost
Yes$79 @ 26.2¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWon
Brute$47 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23?Lost
No$63 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23?Won
Yes$23 @ 25.9¢
San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex RybakovLost
Alex Rybakov$24 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?Won
No$206 @ 51.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?Lost
Yes$19 @ 71.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 10.8¢
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-06?Won
No$79 @ 65.0¢
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Lost
No$37 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?Lost
No$8 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?Won
Yes$34 @ 31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 10.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$784 @ 67.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$177 @ 18.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?Won
No$27 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?Lost
Yes$23 @ 25.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?Won
No$31 @ 67.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19?Won
No$12 @ 69.0¢
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$66 @ 16.0¢
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)Lost
Hokori$175 @ 38.7¢
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)Won
MOUZ$68 @ 53.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?Lost
No$7 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?Won
No$33 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?Lost
Yes$15 @ 18.7¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsWon
3DMAX$77 @ 42.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 23?Won
No$40 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?Won
No$5 @ 22.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.1¢
LoL: Verdant vs mCon esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Verdant$70 @ 87.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Politics	No	$312	46.6¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	No	$264	50.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Politics	No	$256	68.6¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tech	No	$256	88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 25?	Science	No	$242	47.5¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$184	14.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Politics	No	$175	16.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	No	$151	43.0¢
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Culture	Yes	$150	51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 25?	Science	No	$149	37.5¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Culture	No	$149	64.3¢
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Politics	No	$127	39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 25?	Science	No	$125	74.6¢
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Politics	Yes	$123	41.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Politics	No	$94	14.2¢
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	Politics	No	$94	9.3¢
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?	Politics	No	$93	31.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Politics	No	$90	23.0¢
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Sports	No	$89	60.2¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	No	$86	42.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Politics	Yes	$85	92.9¢
Spread: France (-1.5)	Sports	Türkiye	$80	53.0¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Politics	Yes	$79	30.0¢
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	—	Nemiga Gaming	$79	49.4¢
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Sports	Lodis	$76	48.0¢
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$69	29.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$68	39.3¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	Politics	Yes	$66	22.0¢
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$65	33.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 25?	Science	Yes	$65	39.4¢

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics
No$312 @ 46.6¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
No$264 @ 50.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics
No$256 @ 68.6¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
No$256 @ 88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 25?Science
No$242 @ 47.5¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics
Yes$184 @ 14.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
No$175 @ 16.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
No$151 @ 43.0¢
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture
Yes$150 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 25?Science
No$149 @ 37.5¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture
No$149 @ 64.3¢
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Politics
No$127 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 25?Science
No$125 @ 74.6¢
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics
Yes$123 @ 41.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Politics
No$94 @ 14.2¢
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Politics
No$94 @ 9.3¢
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics
No$93 @ 31.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics
No$90 @ 23.0¢
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?Sports
No$89 @ 60.2¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
No$86 @ 42.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics
Yes$85 @ 92.9¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Sports
Türkiye$80 @ 53.0¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?Politics
Yes$79 @ 30.0¢
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A—
Nemiga Gaming$79 @ 49.4¢
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageSports
Lodis$76 @ 48.0¢
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$69 @ 29.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$68 @ 39.3¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Politics
Yes$66 @ 22.0¢
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?Politics
Yes$65 @ 33.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 25?Science
Yes$65 @ 39.4¢