0xbb22…710a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbb223d5a5e18b837fc57ccdc4d656882fcc6710a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+51.0pp

ROI

+180%

Win rate

82% @ 31.2¢

Brier

0.486

Resolved

129

Avg size

$21

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (12/17)	+674%	17
Politics	57% (8/14)	+23%	14
Sports	17% (1/6)	-52%	6

Other17 bets
Hit rate
71% (12/17)
ROI
+674%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
+23%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-52%

Track record

57% hit · 21/37

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$59	10.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$64	8.0¢	Lost
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$58	11.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	8.5¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$62	3.2¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	5.2¢	Lost
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	$50	84.9¢	Won
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$22	11.1¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$40	11.3¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	$158	38.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$21	69.0¢	Won
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	No	$9	46.2¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	$304	53.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$23	77.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$54	83.6¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	$76	87.7¢	Won
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	$178	71.7¢	Won
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$8	75.0¢	Won
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	Yes	$11	44.9¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	16.7¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	$16	40.0¢	Won
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	$154	64.3¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$44	62.7¢	Won
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	$50	82.1¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	18.2¢	Lost
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	$154	9.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	$34	58.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$205	14.6¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$145	30.0¢	Won
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	$27	63.5¢	Won
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$28	70.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	$37	46.0¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	$432	63.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	$21	56.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	76.0¢	Lost
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$116	2.5¢	Won

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$59 @ 10.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$64 @ 8.0¢
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$58 @ 11.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 8.5¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$62 @ 3.2¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 5.2¢
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 84.9¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.1¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$40 @ 11.3¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Won
Yes$158 @ 38.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$21 @ 69.0¢
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Lost
No$9 @ 46.2¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Lost
Yes$304 @ 53.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$23 @ 77.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$54 @ 83.6¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Won
Yes$76 @ 87.7¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$178 @ 71.7¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 44.9¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$41 @ 16.7¢
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Won
Yes$16 @ 40.0¢
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Won
No$154 @ 64.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$44 @ 62.7¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Won
No$50 @ 82.1¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 18.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Lost
Yes$154 @ 9.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Lost
No$34 @ 58.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$205 @ 14.6¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$145 @ 30.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$27 @ 63.5¢
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Lost
No$37 @ 46.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Won
Yes$432 @ 63.8¢
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Won
Yes$21 @ 56.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$8 @ 76.0¢
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Won
Yes$116 @ 2.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$314	8.1¢
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$190	46.8¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$81	13.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$67	55.3¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$55	22.9¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$52	11.9¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	29.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	11.0¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
Yes$314 @ 8.1¢
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$190 @ 46.8¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
Yes$81 @ 13.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Sports
Yes$67 @ 55.3¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$55 @ 22.9¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$52 @ 11.9¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 29.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 11.0¢