0xba5e…e6ce

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xba5e47ae54951dbbcdf972167c86a40afa01e6ce
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.6pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

63% @ 55.4¢

Brier

0.204

Resolved

427

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	60% (152/254)	+13%	254
Sports	53% (27/51)	+47%	51
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	100% (1/1)	+40%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other254 bets
Hit rate
60% (152/254)
ROI
+13%
Sports51 bets
Hit rate
53% (27/51)
ROI
+47%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+40%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

58% hit · 180/308

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Athletics	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	$5	75.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5	Under	$3	75.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5	Over	$5	78.0¢	Won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	$10	46.0¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5	Under	$10	61.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$5	55.0¢	Lost
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	$20	63.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$3	38.0¢	Lost
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$8	13.1¢	Lost
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	$20	53.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$26	18.0¢	Lost
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	$2	51.0¢	Lost
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5	Under	$5	73.0¢	Lost
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	$10	60.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$60	55.3¢	Won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	$5	58.0¢	Won
Will Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Vegalta Sendai end in a draw?	Yes	$5	56.0¢	Lost
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Over	$3	49.0¢	Lost
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5	Over	$5	59.0¢	Won
Warriors vs. Kings	Kings	$20	56.5¢	Won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Over	$3	69.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?	Yes	$10	53.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	5.4¢	Lost
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5	Under	$5	67.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	$10	39.0¢	Won
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	$8	57.0¢	Won
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5	Under	$5	73.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?	No	$5	69.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$5	33.0¢	Won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	$10	43.0¢	Won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	$20	57.5¢	Lost
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Over	$6	57.0¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	$10	56.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$10	78.1¢	Won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	$20	67.0¢	Won
Flames vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$10	86.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	69.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5	Under	$16	61.8¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$51	46.2¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	54.0¢	Won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5	Under	$19	62.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	$10	45.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	$20	41.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5	Under	$27	68.0¢	Won
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	$3	51.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$25	47.4¢	Won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Under	$3	52.0¢	Won

Seattle Mariners vs. AthleticsLost
Athletics$10 @ 51.0¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Won
Over$5 @ 75.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Lost
Under$3 @ 75.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Won
Over$5 @ 78.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWon
Philadelphia Phillies$10 @ 46.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Won
Under$10 @ 61.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$5 @ 55.0¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$10 @ 48.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsWon
Atlanta Braves$20 @ 63.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$3 @ 38.0¢
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$8 @ 13.1¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesLost
New York Yankees$20 @ 53.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$26 @ 18.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Lost
Under$2 @ 51.0¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Lost
Under$5 @ 73.0¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersWon
Seattle Mariners$10 @ 60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$60 @ 55.3¢
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsWon
New York Mets$5 @ 58.0¢
Will Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Vegalta Sendai end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 56.0¢
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$3 @ 49.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Won
Over$5 @ 59.0¢
Warriors vs. KingsWon
Kings$20 @ 56.5¢
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Won
Over$3 @ 69.0¢
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?Lost
Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Won
Under$5 @ 67.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysWon
Pittsburgh Pirates$10 @ 39.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsWon
Atlanta Braves$8 @ 57.0¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Lost
Under$5 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$5 @ 69.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$5 @ 33.0¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersWon
Cleveland Guardians$10 @ 43.0¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersLost
Detroit Tigers$20 @ 57.5¢
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$6 @ 57.0¢
Hurricanes vs. CanadiensWon
Hurricanes$10 @ 56.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$10 @ 78.1¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersWon
Milwaukee Brewers$20 @ 67.0¢
Flames vs. AvalancheWon
Avalanche$10 @ 86.0¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 69.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Lost
Under$16 @ 61.8¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$51 @ 46.2¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$51 @ 54.0¢
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsLost
San Francisco Giants$3 @ 34.0¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Won
Under$19 @ 62.0¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersWon
Knicks$10 @ 45.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresLost
Los Angeles Dodgers$20 @ 41.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Won
Under$27 @ 68.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesWon
San Francisco Giants$3 @ 51.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$25 @ 47.4¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Won
Under$3 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$50	13.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$35	25.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$30	13.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$20	80.4¢

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$50 @ 13.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$35 @ 25.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$30 @ 13.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$20 @ 80.4¢