0xb9c1…0791

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb9c1ea9b9ae211e384e7128255e8387edb380791
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.6pp

ROI

+33%

Win rate

60% @ 47.6¢

Brier

0.178

Resolved

1332

Avg size

$41

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (247/395)	+21%	395
Sports	35% (35/100)	+31%	100
Politics	33% (7/21)	+82%	21
Tech	100% (1/1)	+11%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other395 bets
Hit rate
63% (247/395)
ROI
+21%
Sports100 bets
Hit rate
35% (35/100)
ROI
+31%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
33% (7/21)
ROI
+82%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

56% hit · 290/518

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-07?	Yes	$9	45.0¢	Won
Will Netflix say "Partnership" during earnings call?	No	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$149	21.3¢	Lost
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	$50	7.7¢	Lost
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$202	82.8¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$95	75.1¢	Won
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	No	$133	51.6¢	Won
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	Yes	$76	22.7¢	Lost
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?	No	$24	58.8¢	Won
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
Will Starmer say "Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	$5	20.8¢	Lost
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?	No	$104	80.0¢	Won
Will Mohamed Salah play in Pro League (Belgium) next?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	No	$412	77.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Cambodia" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?	No	$8	45.0¢	Won
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?	Yes	$26	86.0¢	Won
Will Stefano Pioli be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	$18	13.5¢	Lost
Will Ollie Watkins be in England's Starting 11?	No	$300	83.9¢	Won
Will Walmart say "Omnichannel" during earnings call?	Yes	$67	68.7¢	Won
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	$24	11.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?	No	$105	77.5¢	Won
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	$588	43.9¢	Won
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$163	11.3¢	Lost
Will Keir Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$20	72.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$379	37.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$43	12.0¢	Lost
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?	No	$30	60.0¢	Won
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	$24	26.4¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA say "TSMC" during earnings call?	No	$23	23.0¢	Lost
Will "Crossbar" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?	Yes	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will Walmart say "Competition" during earnings call?	No	$12	42.0¢	Won
Will Starmer say "China" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	$18	68.0¢	Won
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?	No	$7	15.0¢	Lost
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?	Yes	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$9	18.0¢	Lost
Will Shayne say "Biden" during 60 Minutes?	No	$45	74.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hell" during Mamdani events on November 21?	No	$7	84.0¢	Won
Will Oracle say "Sovereign" during earnings call?	No	$55	55.0¢	Won
Will Julian Brandt sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	No	$44	73.0¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$14	26.6¢	Lost
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?	Yes	$71	12.8¢	Won
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11?	Yes	$56	78.7¢	Lost
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?	Yes	$16	21.6¢	Lost
Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	No	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	Yes	$151	64.8¢	Won
Will Jack Grealish join Tottenham?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?	No	$48	48.0¢	Lost

Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-07?Won
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
Will Netflix say "Partnership" during earnings call?Lost
No$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Lost
Yes$149 @ 21.3¢
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?Lost
Yes$50 @ 7.7¢
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
No$202 @ 82.8¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
No$95 @ 75.1¢
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?Won
No$133 @ 51.6¢
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?Lost
Yes$76 @ 22.7¢
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Won
No$24 @ 58.8¢
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Will Starmer say "Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.8¢
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?Won
No$104 @ 80.0¢
Will Mohamed Salah play in Pro League (Belgium) next?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?Won
No$412 @ 77.8¢
Will Trump say "Cambodia" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?Won
No$8 @ 45.0¢
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Won
Yes$26 @ 86.0¢
Will Stefano Pioli be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Lost
Yes$18 @ 13.5¢
Will Ollie Watkins be in England's Starting 11?Won
No$300 @ 83.9¢
Will Walmart say "Omnichannel" during earnings call?Won
Yes$67 @ 68.7¢
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Lost
Yes$24 @ 11.9¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Won
No$105 @ 77.5¢
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Won
Yes$588 @ 43.9¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Lost
Yes$163 @ 11.3¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Lost
Yes$20 @ 72.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$379 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$43 @ 12.0¢
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Won
No$30 @ 60.0¢
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Lost
Yes$24 @ 26.4¢
Will NVIDIA say "TSMC" during earnings call?Lost
No$23 @ 23.0¢
Will "Crossbar" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?Won
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Walmart say "Competition" during earnings call?Won
No$12 @ 42.0¢
Will Starmer say "China" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Won
No$18 @ 68.0¢
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?Lost
No$7 @ 15.0¢
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.1¢
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
No$9 @ 18.0¢
Will Shayne say "Biden" during 60 Minutes?Won
No$45 @ 74.3¢
Will Trump say "Hell" during Mamdani events on November 21?Won
No$7 @ 84.0¢
Will Oracle say "Sovereign" during earnings call?Won
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Julian Brandt sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?Won
No$44 @ 73.0¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?Lost
No$14 @ 26.6¢
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?Won
Yes$71 @ 12.8¢
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$56 @ 78.7¢
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?Lost
Yes$16 @ 21.6¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?Lost
No$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?Won
Yes$151 @ 64.8¢
Will Jack Grealish join Tottenham?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Lost
No$48 @ 48.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	Sports	Yes	$396	90.5¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$173	80.1¢
Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$110	95.1¢

Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?Sports
Yes$396 @ 90.5¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$173 @ 80.1¢
Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?Sports
No$110 @ 95.1¢