0xb99a…a00f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb99a9ebce17cb47877036cb4a17849eaaf88a00f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.6pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

76% @ 56.9¢

Brier

0.188

Resolved

147

Avg size

$199

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (37/57)	+24%	57
Politics	100% (6/6)	+37%	6

Other57 bets
Hit rate
65% (37/57)
ROI
+24%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+37%

Track record

68% hit · 43/63

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?	Yes	$400	52.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?	No	$100	42.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$302	85.9¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?	No	$500	49.6¢	Won
Yoon arrested by January 31?	No	$716	55.4¢	Lost
Solana above $130 on March 28?	Yes	$200	81.6¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?	Yes	$597	69.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	No	$500	86.9¢	Won
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	No	$2.9k	31.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 20?	No	$500	82.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?	Yes	$39	13.0¢	Lost
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$1000	69.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	$302	89.9¢	Won
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?	Yes	$512	72.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	$402	89.6¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?	No	$2.0k	34.7¢	Lost
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?	No	$500	29.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	$100	89.8¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?	Yes	$30	10.0¢	Lost
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	$100	34.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?	No	$414	82.8¢	Won
Solana above $200 on February 21?	Yes	$178	31.8¢	Lost
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$1000	78.0¢	Won
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	No	$499	50.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?	No	$500	60.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?	Yes	$185	50.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	No	$500	89.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?	No	$100	71.1¢	Lost
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?	No	$1.3k	84.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?	No	$348	86.9¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	$100	25.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$100	81.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$512	52.0¢	Won
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	$1000	76.0¢	Won
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	$310	62.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?	No	$547	30.0¢	Won
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?	Yes	$248	62.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?	Yes	$312	78.0¢	Won
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	$500	83.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?	No	$100	50.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?	Yes	$100	35.0¢	Lost
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	$600	89.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	$202	79.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?	No	$490	49.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?	No	$100	45.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?	No	$200	55.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?	Yes	$300	66.0¢	Won

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?Won
Yes$400 @ 52.0¢
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?Won
No$100 @ 42.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$302 @ 85.9¢
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Won
No$500 @ 49.6¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Lost
No$716 @ 55.4¢
Solana above $130 on March 28?Lost
Yes$200 @ 81.6¢
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Won
Yes$597 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Won
No$500 @ 86.9¢
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Won
No$2.9k @ 31.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 20?Won
No$500 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Lost
Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Won
No$302 @ 89.9¢
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Won
Yes$512 @ 72.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Won
No$402 @ 89.6¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?Lost
No$2.0k @ 34.7¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Lost
No$500 @ 29.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$100 @ 89.8¢
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Lost
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Won
No$100 @ 34.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Won
No$414 @ 82.8¢
Solana above $200 on February 21?Lost
Yes$178 @ 31.8¢
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
Yes$1000 @ 78.0¢
Will there be a US Government shutdown? Lost
No$499 @ 50.8¢
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?Lost
No$500 @ 60.0¢
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?Won
Yes$185 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Lost
No$500 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Lost
No$100 @ 71.1¢
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?Won
No$1.3k @ 84.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
No$348 @ 86.9¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
No$100 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?Lost
Yes$100 @ 81.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$512 @ 52.0¢
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Won
Yes$1000 @ 76.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Won
No$310 @ 62.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Won
No$547 @ 30.0¢
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Lost
Yes$248 @ 62.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Lost
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Won
Yes$312 @ 78.0¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Won
No$500 @ 83.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?Won
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?Lost
Yes$100 @ 35.0¢
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Won
No$600 @ 89.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Won
No$202 @ 79.0¢
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Lost
No$490 @ 49.0¢
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Won
No$100 @ 45.0¢
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?Lost
No$200 @ 55.1¢
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?Won
Yes$300 @ 66.0¢

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