0xb8e1…e114

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb8e1a95b94cefacff9c4ffc90075c2818567e114
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+15.6pp

ROI

+65%

Win rate

44% @ 28.2¢

Brier

0.238

Resolved

Avg size

$33

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (28/64)	+67%	64
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other64 bets
Hit rate
44% (28/64)
ROI
+67%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 28/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$59	33.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?	No	$27	16.8¢	Lost
Senators vs. Avalanche	Senators	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?	No	$60	32.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	No	$63	36.9¢	Won
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	No	$50	15.7¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?	No	$40	41.0¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$48	36.0¢	Lost
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?	No	$42	44.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?	No	$40	13.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?	No	$25	39.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?	No	$65	19.0¢	Lost
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	$30	23.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?	No	$75	21.2¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?	No	$40	16.0¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?	No	$81	62.8¢	Won
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$20	33.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	Yes	$35	30.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	No	$60	31.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?	No	$40	48.0¢	Won
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Demoor	$59	12.5¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?	No	$80	24.0¢	Won
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?	Yes	$50	19.0¢	Won
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?	No	$35	6.0¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	Yes	$50	8.5¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$20	14.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?	No	$40	27.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?	No	$50	78.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?	No	$65	25.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?	Yes	$33	32.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?	No	$59	37.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	$30	20.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?	No	$66	14.5¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?	No	$50	21.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?	No	$50	34.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?	No	$50	27.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?	No	$40	30.5¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?	No	$100	30.5¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	$60	27.9¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?	No	$35	23.7¢	Lost
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?	Yes	$46	35.6¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$40	19.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?	No	$35	25.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?	No	$70	32.0¢	Won
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?	Yes	$20	57.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?	No	$40	38.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?	No	$25	35.6¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	$50	29.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?	No	$40	21.0¢	Lost
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
No$59 @ 33.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?Lost
No$27 @ 16.8¢
Senators vs. AvalancheLost
Senators$10 @ 8.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?Lost
No$60 @ 32.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
No$63 @ 36.9¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Lost
No$50 @ 15.7¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?Won
No$40 @ 41.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?Lost
Yes$48 @ 36.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?Lost
No$42 @ 44.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?Lost
No$40 @ 13.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?Won
No$25 @ 39.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?Lost
No$65 @ 19.0¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Lost
Yes$30 @ 23.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?Lost
No$75 @ 21.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?Won
No$40 @ 16.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?Won
No$81 @ 62.8¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?Lost
Yes$35 @ 30.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?Won
No$60 @ 31.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?Won
No$40 @ 48.0¢
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorWon
Demoor$59 @ 12.5¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?Won
No$80 @ 24.0¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?Won
Yes$50 @ 19.0¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?Lost
No$35 @ 6.0¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Lost
Yes$50 @ 8.5¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?Lost
No$40 @ 27.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?Won
No$50 @ 78.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?Won
No$65 @ 25.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?Lost
Yes$33 @ 32.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?Won
No$59 @ 37.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$30 @ 20.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?Lost
No$66 @ 14.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?Won
No$50 @ 21.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?Won
No$50 @ 34.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?Lost
No$50 @ 27.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?Won
No$40 @ 30.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?Won
No$100 @ 30.5¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$60 @ 27.9¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?Lost
No$35 @ 23.7¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?Won
Yes$46 @ 35.6¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$40 @ 19.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?Lost
No$35 @ 25.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?Won
No$70 @ 32.0¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?Lost
Yes$20 @ 57.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Won
No$40 @ 38.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?Won
No$25 @ 35.6¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?Lost
No$50 @ 29.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?Lost
No$40 @ 21.0¢
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$26	8.2¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$23	27.3¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	26.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$20	15.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$20	12.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$20	6.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$20	1.2¢
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$10	2.4¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$26 @ 8.2¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$23 @ 27.3¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$20 @ 6.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$20 @ 1.2¢
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$10 @ 2.4¢