← Smart money
0xb8d7…6f40
SharpEdge
+5.7pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
18% @ 12.3¢
Brier
0.065
Resolved
200
Avg size
$151
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (4/12) | +61% | 12 |
| Sports | 40% (2/5) | -64% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +44% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +35% | 1 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- +61%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -64%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +44%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +35%
Track record
40% hit · 8/20- Yes$970 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$516 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$28 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$323 @ 12.9¢
- No$4.4k @ 62.2¢
- Yes$147 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$86 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 64.4¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 3.6¢
- Yes$41 @ 12.0¢
- No$3.3k @ 77.3¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 24.9¢
- Yes$703 @ 40.6¢
- Yes$292 @ 7.2¢
- No$3.7k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$124 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 18.7¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $823 | 4.6¢ |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $108 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Economy | Yes | $57 | 0.4¢ |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $55 | 0.8¢ |
- Yes$823 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$108 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.8¢