0xb87f…f7d4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb87fb360cb36b252a237b11b18d9a4127ee3f7d4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-3.6pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

46% @ 49.3¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

1360

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (126/228)	+11%	228
Science	50% (23/46)	-25%	46
Politics	34% (10/29)	-20%	29
Geopolitics	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Tech	57% (4/7)	+43%	7
Economy	50% (3/6)	+34%	6
Culture	50% (1/2)	-23%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other228 bets
Hit rate
55% (126/228)
ROI
+11%
Science46 bets
Hit rate
50% (23/46)
ROI
-25%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
34% (10/29)
ROI
-20%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Tech7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+43%
Economy6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+34%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-23%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

51% hit · 167/330

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	$22	51.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?	No	$1	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22?	No	$28	83.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	$48	57.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$201	57.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?	Yes	$17	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?	Yes	$52	59.3¢	Won
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?	Yes	$42	73.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?	Yes	$13	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	$3	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	$55	59.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	No	$53	65.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?	Yes	$34	56.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	No	$5	84.0¢	Won
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	$1	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	$24	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22?	Yes	$32	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?	Yes	$49	48.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19?	No	$61	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	No	$1	64.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?	Yes	$21	48.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 20?	Yes	$26	41.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	$2	43.0¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$3	4.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	$31	51.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	$56	28.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	$126	30.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?	Yes	$30	37.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	$44	63.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?	Yes	$18	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	$6	73.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 5°C or below on September 22?	Yes	$63	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 21?	Yes	$23	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$9	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	$23	29.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 20?	No	$35	78.0¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$18	21.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	Yes	$42	45.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10?	No	$88	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	$39	37.0¢	Won
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?	No	$13	82.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	Yes	$30	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?	No	$58	80.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on August 29?	No	$91	81.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?	No	$36	82.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?	No	$68	69.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?	Yes	$86	45.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?	No	$12	76.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Lost
Yes$22 @ 51.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?Won
No$1 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22?Won
No$28 @ 83.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?Lost
Yes$48 @ 57.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$1 @ 15.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$201 @ 57.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?Won
Yes$17 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?Won
Yes$52 @ 59.3¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Won
Yes$42 @ 73.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?Won
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Won
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?Won
Yes$55 @ 59.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?Lost
No$53 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Lost
Yes$34 @ 56.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Won
No$5 @ 84.0¢
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$24 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$32 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?Lost
Yes$49 @ 48.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19?Won
No$61 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?Lost
No$1 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?Lost
Yes$21 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$26 @ 41.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?Won
Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$3 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?Won
Yes$31 @ 51.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?Won
Yes$56 @ 28.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 1?Won
Yes$126 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?Lost
Yes$30 @ 37.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?Won
Yes$44 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?Won
Yes$18 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?Won
No$6 @ 73.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 5°C or below on September 22?Lost
Yes$63 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 21?Won
Yes$23 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 21?Won
Yes$9 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$23 @ 29.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 20?Won
No$35 @ 78.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$18 @ 21.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?Won
Yes$42 @ 45.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10?Won
No$88 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 22?Won
Yes$39 @ 37.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 82.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$30 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?Won
No$58 @ 80.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on August 29?Won
No$91 @ 81.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?Won
No$36 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?Lost
No$68 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?Won
Yes$86 @ 45.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?Lost
No$12 @ 76.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?	Science	No	$86	85.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	Science	No	$80	81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?	Science	No	$74	68.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24?	Science	No	$68	86.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?	Science	No	$65	69.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?	Science	No	$62	76.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?	Science	Yes	$60	29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Science	No	$57	66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 23?	Science	Yes	$57	50.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$52	48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 23?	Science	Yes	$51	39.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 23?	Science	Yes	$47	37.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?	Science	No	$47	73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 24?	Science	No	$46	81.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on September 23?	—	Yes	$46	51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 24?	Science	No	$45	75.8¢
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?	Politics	Yes	$45	45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 24?	Science	No	$45	71.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 23?	Science	Yes	$43	43.9¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$43	65.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$42	48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$42	56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 23?	Science	Yes	$40	48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 24?	Science	No	$39	85.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$39	36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23?	Science	Yes	$39	51.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 24?	Science	No	$37	90.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$36	51.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24?	Science	Yes	$34	48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25?	—	Yes	$34	50.7¢

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?Science
No$86 @ 85.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?Science
No$80 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?Science
No$74 @ 68.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24?Science
No$68 @ 86.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?Science
No$65 @ 69.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?Science
No$62 @ 76.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?Science
Yes$60 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?Science
No$57 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 23?Science
Yes$57 @ 50.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24?Science
Yes$52 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 23?Science
Yes$51 @ 39.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 23?Science
Yes$47 @ 37.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?Science
No$47 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 24?Science
No$46 @ 81.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on September 23?—
Yes$46 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 24?Science
No$45 @ 75.8¢
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Politics
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 24?Science
No$45 @ 71.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 23?Science
Yes$43 @ 43.9¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics
Yes$43 @ 65.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 24?Science
Yes$42 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 24?Science
Yes$42 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 23?Science
Yes$40 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 24?Science
No$39 @ 85.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24?Science
Yes$39 @ 36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23?Science
Yes$39 @ 51.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 24?Science
No$37 @ 90.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?Science
Yes$36 @ 51.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24?Science
Yes$34 @ 48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25?—
Yes$34 @ 50.7¢