0xb835…2e51

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb835651e4d514f55197dc490c2092b7b1f562e51
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.7pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

58% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.167

Resolved

259

Avg size

$123

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (41/87)	+2%	87
Sports	75% (9/12)	+59%	12
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other87 bets
Hit rate
47% (41/87)
ROI
+2%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+59%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 50/100

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$787	76.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	$82	28.0¢	Won
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs	Barça eSports	$54	51.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A	Team Orange Gaming	$10	73.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Team Falcons	$1.7k	77.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B	Prestige	$59	71.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Phantom	$383	50.0¢	Won
LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Team Phoenix	$39	12.5¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$8	38.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	FUT Esports	$1.7k	44.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B	struggletony	$6	45.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Walczaki	$1.7k	50.5¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	Karmine Corp Blue	$376	34.0¢	Lost
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	$244	62.0¢	Won
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?	No	$458	89.0¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	$13	66.0¢	Won
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	$56	89.3¢	Won
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	$1.4k	83.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	$13	50.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Lilmix	$124	33.0¢	Won
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	$1.2k	84.0¢	Won
LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season	Onion Team	$3	8.0¢	Lost
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Shopify Rebellion	$29	29.0¢	Lost
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	$419	48.6¢	Lost
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	$825	34.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	$6	11.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	$11	24.9¢	Won
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Cloud9	$8	17.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Team Falcons	$2.1k	59.6¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$67	5.3¢	Lost
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Bushido Wildcats	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Estar Backs (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	$16	81.3¢	Won
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	$414	38.0¢	Won
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffs	XLG Gaming	$354	66.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest	$655	35.0¢	Won
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	$86	43.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	FOKUS	$419	42.8¢	Lost
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$156	19.4¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	$839	24.2¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$4	5.6¢	Lost
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	$1.5k	39.5¢	Won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	$3	50.0¢	Won
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$578	26.8¢	Lost
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	$186	15.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Lilmix	$2	34.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	R2 Esports Club	$166	47.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs	Chinggis Warriors	$11	15.1¢	Lost
LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	BoostGate Esports	$372	14.1¢	Lost

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsWon
Vitality$787 @ 76.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AWon
B8$82 @ 28.0¢
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsLost
Barça eSports$54 @ 51.0¢
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group AWon
Team Orange Gaming$10 @ 73.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
Team Falcons$1.7k @ 77.6¢
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group BWon
Prestige$59 @ 71.0¢
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageWon
Phantom$383 @ 50.0¢
LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonLost
Team Phoenix$39 @ 12.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$8 @ 38.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
FUT Esports$1.7k @ 44.0¢
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BLost
struggletony$6 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageWon
Walczaki$1.7k @ 50.5¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonLost
Karmine Corp Blue$376 @ 34.0¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
Invictus Gaming$244 @ 62.0¢
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?Won
No$458 @ 89.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra AndreevaWon
Mirra Andreeva$13 @ 66.0¢
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Won
No$56 @ 89.3¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
KT Rolster$1.4k @ 83.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group BWon
THUNDER dOWNUNDER$13 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsWon
Lilmix$124 @ 33.0¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
Hanwha Life Esports$1.2k @ 84.0¢
LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonLost
Onion Team$3 @ 8.0¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLost
Shopify Rebellion$29 @ 29.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Invictus Gaming$419 @ 48.6¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
Natus Vincere$825 @ 34.0¢
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
DN SOOPers$6 @ 11.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
GIANTX$11 @ 24.9¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLost
Cloud9$8 @ 17.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons$2.1k @ 59.6¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
Natus Vincere$2 @ 35.0¢
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
No$67 @ 5.3¢
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonLost
Bushido Wildcats$4 @ 35.0¢
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Estar Backs (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BWon
Zero Tenacity$16 @ 81.3¢
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
Top Esports$414 @ 38.0¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO5) - VCT China PlayoffsWon
XLG Gaming$354 @ 66.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsWon
FlyQuest$655 @ 35.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
HANJIN BRION$86 @ 43.9¢
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
FOKUS$419 @ 42.8¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
No$156 @ 19.4¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
Nongshim Red Force$839 @ 24.2¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.6¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
Invictus Gaming$1.5k @ 39.5¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
Weibo Gaming$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
No$578 @ 26.8¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
BNK FEARX$186 @ 15.3¢
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLost
Lilmix$2 @ 34.0¢
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageLost
R2 Esports Club$166 @ 47.9¢
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 PlayoffsLost
Chinggis Warriors$11 @ 15.1¢
LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonLost
BoostGate Esports$372 @ 14.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?	—	No	$542	57.2¢
Will Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?	Sports	No	$433	80.1¢
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	—	No	$348	47.2¢
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	—	No	$346	75.0¢
Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	—	No	$325	76.1¢
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	Sports	No	$321	55.8¢
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	—	No	$260	58.3¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Sports	No	$231	72.1¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$150	44.5¢
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Sports	No	$139	13.0¢
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	—	No	$138	35.1¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$125	89.8¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Sports	No	$111	14.9¢
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	—	No	$19	59.0¢
Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	—	Yes	$1	1.3¢

Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?—
No$542 @ 57.2¢
Will Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?Sports
No$433 @ 80.1¢
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?—
No$348 @ 47.2¢
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?—
No$346 @ 75.0¢
Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?—
No$325 @ 76.1¢
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?Sports
No$321 @ 55.8¢
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?—
No$260 @ 58.3¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Sports
No$231 @ 72.1¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$150 @ 44.5¢
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?Sports
No$139 @ 13.0¢
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?—
No$138 @ 35.1¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$125 @ 89.8¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Sports
No$111 @ 14.9¢
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?—
No$19 @ 59.0¢
Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?—
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢