0xb7d4…6a1d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb7d4cc5ccb2958023a4c3d75aa7cff8fa5de6a1d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.7pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

55% @ 49.0¢

Brier

0.210

Resolved

485

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (72/122)	+10%	122
Politics	21% (21/98)	-8%	98
Sports	63% (12/19)	+5%	19
Tech	38% (6/16)	-6%	16
Economy	19% (3/16)	-13%	16
Science	100% (3/3)	+35%	3
Culture	100% (2/2)	+31%	2

Other122 bets
Hit rate
59% (72/122)
ROI
+10%
Politics98 bets
Hit rate
21% (21/98)
ROI
-8%
Sports19 bets
Hit rate
63% (12/19)
ROI
+5%
Tech16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
-6%
Economy16 bets
Hit rate
19% (3/16)
ROI
-13%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+35%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%

Track record

43% hit · 119/276

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Lost
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Lost
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Lost
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Lost
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	$1	5.3¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Lost
Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	$1	5.5¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Lost
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	$1	5.5¢	Lost

Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$6	50.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	7.7¢
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.6¢
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.6¢
Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.6¢
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.6¢
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢

Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 7.7¢
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢