← Smart money
0xb7c0…8ef2
SharpEdge
+21.6pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
77% @ 55.2¢
Brier
0.110
Resolved
112
Avg size
$12
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 58% (7/12) | +7% | 12 |
| Economy | 50% (4/8) | +28% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 83% (5/6) | +34% | 6 |
| Politics | 60% (3/5) | +29% | 5 |
| Culture | 50% (2/4) | -12% | 4 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (7/12)
- ROI
- +7%
- Economy8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +34%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +29%
- Culture4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -12%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
58% hit · 21/36- Yes$177 @ 65.8¢
- Yes$16 @ 79.0¢
- No$3 @ 60.0¢
- Learner Tien$82 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 54.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
- No$80 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$190 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 13.6¢
- Yes$31 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 71.0¢
- No$2 @ 3.8¢
- No$1 @ 25.0¢
- No$8 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 36.5¢
- No$137 @ 77.6¢
- Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?LostNo$6 @ 32.0¢
- Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?WonYes$13 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 61.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$16 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$113 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 39.0¢
- Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?WonYes$78 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
- No$14 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 56.3¢
Recent trades
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