0xb716…f61c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb716a4df1efa25a87a8ba731e391cd9f2289f61c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-38.3pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

18% @ 56.7¢

Brier

0.269

Resolved

463

Avg size

$48

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (15/24)	+22%	24
Politics	65% (13/20)	+12%	20
Sports	42% (5/12)	-29%	12
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-35%	4
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+49%	1

Other24 bets
Hit rate
63% (15/24)
ROI
+22%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+12%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
-29%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-35%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+49%

Track record

56% hit · 35/63

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Predators vs. Senators	Predators	$20	38.4¢	Lost
Wild vs. Panthers	Wild	$30	43.0¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Kraken	Kraken	$20	40.0¢	Lost
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	$176	88.0¢	Won
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	$1.5k	87.3¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$15	48.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	67.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	$228	19.0¢	Lost
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	$162	9.0¢	Lost
Sabres vs. Kraken	Kraken	$23	48.0¢	Lost
Flyers vs. Lightning	Flyers	$62	34.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.0k	69.0¢	Won
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	15.5¢	Lost
Canadiens vs. Rangers	Canadiens	$20	44.0¢	Lost
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$120	24.0¢	Lost
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	Yes	$140	86.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$155	27.0¢	Won
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	$262	11.4¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$1.2k	85.2¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?	No	$2	2.2¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	$176	87.4¢	Won
Senators vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	$16	53.0¢	Lost
Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	$614	88.5¢	Won
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$402	67.0¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$25	48.0¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$1.7k	85.4¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean OMalley	$79	78.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$925	60.0¢	Lost
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	$225	9.0¢	Lost
Flames vs. Avalanche	Flames	$50	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$2.5k	78.0¢	Won
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	No	$385	22.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$45	67.2¢	Won
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$131	4.6¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$288	48.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$294	49.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	No	$640	40.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$300	30.0¢	Won
Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	$269	85.1¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	$688	86.0¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$96	32.0¢	Won
Women's Final - USA vs. Canada	Canada	$10	21.7¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	$150	88.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$434	62.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$2.0k	62.6¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$598	85.4¢	Won
Penguins vs. Islanders	Islanders	$30	54.0¢	Lost
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	No	$474	87.6¢	Won

Predators vs. SenatorsLost
Predators$20 @ 38.4¢
Wild vs. PanthersWon
Wild$30 @ 43.0¢
Golden Knights vs. KrakenLost
Kraken$20 @ 40.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?Won
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Won
No$1.5k @ 87.3¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$15 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Lost
No$228 @ 19.0¢
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Lost
No$162 @ 9.0¢
Sabres vs. KrakenLost
Kraken$23 @ 48.0¢
Flyers vs. LightningLost
Flyers$62 @ 34.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 69.0¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 15.5¢
Canadiens vs. RangersLost
Canadiens$20 @ 44.0¢
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Won
Yes$140 @ 86.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$155 @ 27.0¢
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Lost
Yes$262 @ 11.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$1.2k @ 85.2¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Lost
No$2 @ 2.2¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Won
No$176 @ 87.4¢
Senators vs. Maple LeafsLost
Maple Leafs$16 @ 53.0¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Won
No$614 @ 88.5¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$402 @ 67.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Belgium$25 @ 48.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$1.7k @ 85.4¢
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Sean OMalley$79 @ 78.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$925 @ 60.0¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Lost
No$225 @ 9.0¢
Flames vs. AvalancheLost
Flames$50 @ 24.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$2.5k @ 78.0¢
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Lost
No$385 @ 22.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$45 @ 67.2¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$131 @ 4.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$288 @ 48.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$294 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Lost
No$640 @ 40.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Kash Patel out by May 31?Won
No$269 @ 85.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
No$688 @ 86.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$96 @ 32.0¢
Women's Final - USA vs. CanadaLost
Canada$10 @ 21.7¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Won
No$150 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$434 @ 62.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 62.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
No$598 @ 85.4¢
Penguins vs. IslandersLost
Islanders$30 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Won
No$474 @ 87.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1.8k	89.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	90.6¢
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Sports	No	$300	73.0¢
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$140	90.6¢
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$64	73.1¢
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$36	78.3¢
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?	Politics	No	$13	66.0¢
Will Alberts Smits win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Sports	Yes	$3	0.7¢

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 90.6¢
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Sports
No$300 @ 73.0¢
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?Crypto
No$140 @ 90.6¢
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$64 @ 73.1¢
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?Crypto
No$36 @ 78.3¢
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics
No$13 @ 66.0¢
Will Alberts Smits win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Sports
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢