0xb6fa…abcf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb6fa57039ea79185895500dbd0067c288594abcf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

64% @ 58.7¢

Brier

0.150

Resolved

1887

Avg size

$21

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	24% (131/554)	-39%	554
Politics	45% (65/146)	-24%	146
Sports	15% (21/143)	+17%	143
Tech	43% (6/14)	-3%	14
Geopolitics	70% (7/10)	-7%	10
Culture	56% (5/9)	-67%	9
Economy	50% (3/6)	-52%	6
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+15%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other554 bets
Hit rate
24% (131/554)
ROI
-39%
Politics146 bets
Hit rate
45% (65/146)
ROI
-24%
Sports143 bets
Hit rate
15% (21/143)
ROI
+17%
Tech14 bets
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
ROI
-3%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
-7%
Culture9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-67%
Economy6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-52%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 239/884

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will Andrea Pinamonti be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Alfonso López Chau and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	Yes	$249	10.0¢	Lost
Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$287	1.9¢	Lost
Will Steven Stamkos win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Evanilson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Atletico Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Adam Fox win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$286	1.9¢	Lost
Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Tim Stutzle win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Espá finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Kayode Damali win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Nico Hischier win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Brady Tkachuk win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	Yes	$228	10.0¢	Lost
Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Roman Josi win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Fraser Minten win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will Luca Cagnoni win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$24	2.6¢	Lost
Will Samuel Honzek win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Jonathan Toews win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Simon Edvinsson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Hirra Khan Adeogun win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Bowen Byram win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Shane Lachance win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will Ville Koivunen win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will Magdalena Frech win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Bryan Mbeumo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Mario Vizcarra finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Fernando Olivera finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Esa Lindell win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$24	2.6¢	Lost
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$286	1.9¢	Lost
Will José Luna finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$42	2.1¢	Lost
Will Tareke Gregg win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will Charalambos Kostoulas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Sergei Bobrovsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Brandon Montour win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026?	Yes	$293	3.1¢	Lost
Will Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Yulia Putintseva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will Ryan O'Reilly win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost

Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will Andrea Pinamonti be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Alfonso López Chau and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?Lost
Yes$249 @ 10.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will Steven Stamkos win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Evanilson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Atletico Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Adam Fox win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$286 @ 1.9¢
Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Tim Stutzle win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Carlos Espá finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Kayode Damali win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Nico Hischier win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Brady Tkachuk win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?Lost
Yes$228 @ 10.0¢
Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Roman Josi win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Fraser Minten win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Luca Cagnoni win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$24 @ 2.6¢
Will Samuel Honzek win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Jonathan Toews win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Simon Edvinsson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Hirra Khan Adeogun win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Bowen Byram win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Shane Lachance win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Ville Koivunen win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Magdalena Frech win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Bryan Mbeumo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Mario Vizcarra finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Fernando Olivera finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Esa Lindell win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$24 @ 2.6¢
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$286 @ 1.9¢
Will José Luna finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$42 @ 2.1¢
Will Tareke Gregg win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Charalambos Kostoulas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Sergei Bobrovsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Brandon Montour win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$293 @ 3.1¢
Will Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Yulia Putintseva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will Ryan O'Reilly win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	—	Yes	$4.9k	3.8¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$792	2.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$789	2.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$787	2.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$781	2.0¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$773	2.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$773	2.0¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$740	2.0¢
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$720	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	—	Yes	$522	10.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	—	Yes	$391	10.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	—	Yes	$320	10.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026?	—	Yes	$293	3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?	—	Yes	$293	3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 6, 2026?	—	Yes	$292	3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?	—	Yes	$289	3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?	—	Yes	$289	3.1¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will Mesías Guevara finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will George Forsyth finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will César Acuña finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$287	1.9¢
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$286	1.9¢
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$286	1.9¢
Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	—	Yes	$286	1.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$277	3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?	—	Yes	$277	3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$277	3.1¢

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?—
Yes$4.9k @ 3.8¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$792 @ 2.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$789 @ 2.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$787 @ 2.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$781 @ 2.0¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$773 @ 2.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$773 @ 2.0¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$740 @ 2.0¢
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$720 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?—
Yes$522 @ 10.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?—
Yes$391 @ 10.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?—
Yes$320 @ 10.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026?—
Yes$293 @ 3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?—
Yes$293 @ 3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 6, 2026?—
Yes$292 @ 3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?—
Yes$289 @ 3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?—
Yes$289 @ 3.1¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will Mesías Guevara finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will George Forsyth finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will César Acuña finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$287 @ 1.9¢
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$286 @ 1.9¢
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$286 @ 1.9¢
Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?—
Yes$286 @ 1.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?—
Yes$277 @ 3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?—
Yes$277 @ 3.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 30, 2026?—
Yes$277 @ 3.1¢