0xb6ca…48a9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb6cae2a3084f02f691ff4ecaf61783335b2048a9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.1pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

61% @ 49.5¢

Brier

0.170

Resolved

1677

Avg size

$39

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (595/907)	+14%	907
Business	22% (27/121)	+27%	121

Other907 bets
Hit rate
66% (595/907)
ROI
+14%
Business121 bets
Hit rate
22% (27/121)
ROI
+27%

Track record

61% hit · 622/1028

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 19 above $70?	No	$59	26.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $340-$345 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	Yes	$45	15.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $335-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	Yes	$52	17.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$6	9.1¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 19 2026?	No	$3	79.0¢	Won
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$27	5.2¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	Yes	$85	21.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 19?	No	$172	15.7¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 19?	Yes	$204	8.5¢	Won
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	$0	19.2¢	Lost
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	$0	9.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 19?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	$1	29.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 19?	No	$11	77.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 19?	Yes	$84	7.0¢	Lost
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $210?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 12 above $375?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $202-$204 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$30	5.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $145-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$8	2.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$138	23.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $140-$145 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 12 above $365?	Yes	$57	13.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 12 above $345?	Yes	$27	6.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $150-$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$65	13.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $155-$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 12 above $325?	Yes	$166	85.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $245?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $70?	Yes	$246	41.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	$54	9.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$12	60.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$14	4.0¢	Lost
Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	$2	10.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 14?	Yes	$11	80.0¢	Won
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 14?	Up	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 13?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on October 13?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 12?	No	$59	13.7¢	Lost
Will Meta (META) close above $710 on October 12?	No	$0	16.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 12?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 5 above $2.00?	No	$2	2.0¢	Lost

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 19 above $70?Won
No$59 @ 26.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Won
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $340-$345 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Lost
Yes$45 @ 15.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $335-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Lost
Yes$52 @ 17.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 19 2026?Won
No$3 @ 79.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 5.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Lost
Yes$85 @ 21.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 19?Lost
No$172 @ 15.7¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 19?Won
Yes$204 @ 8.5¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 19?Lost
Down$0 @ 19.2¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 19?Lost
Down$0 @ 9.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 19?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 19?Lost
Down$1 @ 29.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 19?Won
No$11 @ 77.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 19?Lost
Yes$84 @ 7.0¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $210?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 12 above $375?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $202-$204 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$30 @ 5.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $145-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Won
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$138 @ 23.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $140-$145 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 12 above $365?Lost
Yes$57 @ 13.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 12 above $345?Lost
Yes$27 @ 6.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $150-$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$65 @ 13.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $155-$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 12 above $325?Won
Yes$166 @ 85.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $245?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $70?Won
Yes$246 @ 41.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Lost
Yes$54 @ 9.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 4.0¢
Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 15?Won
Up$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 14?Won
Yes$11 @ 80.0¢
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 14?Lost
Up$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 13?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 12?Lost
No$59 @ 13.7¢
Will Meta (META) close above $710 on October 12?Lost
No$0 @ 16.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 5 above $2.00?Lost
No$2 @ 2.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	Business	Yes	$60	4.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 26?	Business	Yes	$3	0.6¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$3	32.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$3	10.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$2	5.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 26?	Business	No	$1	3.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on October 26?	Business	No	$0	6.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 26?	Business	No	$0	5.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$0	15.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$0	9.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$0	3.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$0	7.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 26?	Business	No	$0	1.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	Yes	$0	4.0¢

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?Business
Yes$60 @ 4.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 26?Business
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 26?Business
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on October 26?Business
No$0 @ 6.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 26?Business
No$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$0 @ 15.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 26?Business
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 26 2026?Business
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢