0xb6c7…c0e2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb6c7b59dc4598a72117ee6a8e24c79708ee4c0e2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-4.4pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

27% @ 31.5¢

Brier

0.142

Resolved

569

Avg size

$49

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	28% (19/69)	+14%	69
Sports	34% (20/58)	+11%	58
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other69 bets
Hit rate
28% (19/69)
ROI
+14%
Sports58 bets
Hit rate
34% (20/58)
ROI
+11%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 39/128

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	$72	2.4¢	Lost
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$10	27.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$303	57.5¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	42.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$105	21.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$25	29.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	86.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$224	32.1¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	No	$396	5.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$113	22.1¢	Lost
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	37.0¢	Won
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.4¢	Lost
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?	25bps cut	$201	67.0¢	Won
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?	No Change	$59	6.5¢	Lost
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$54	21.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$276	28.9¢	Lost
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$691	86.0¢	Won
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$24	17.0¢	Lost
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	41.9¢	Won
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$45	14.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$500	41.9¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	Yes	$55	22.0¢	Lost
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$137	38.3¢	Lost
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	Yes	$288	66.3¢	Won
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$119	57.6¢	Won
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$117	32.2¢	Lost
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$799	38.1¢	Won
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$409	35.4¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	3.9¢	Lost
Will Heather Humphreys win by 0–5%?	Yes	$21	10.8¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?	Yes	$3.6k	42.6¢	Won
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	$35	69.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$411	6.5¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$62	14.2¢	Lost
Will Heather Humphreys win by 20% or more?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winner	SEA	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$58	32.7¢	Lost
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$121	12.0¢	Lost
Big Game: Coin Toss	Tails	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	45.5¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	Yes	$116	58.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$202	28.8¢	Lost
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$101	60.9¢	Won
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$854	85.0¢	Won
Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?	Yes	$101	14.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	Yes	$60	10.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost

Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Lost
Yes$72 @ 2.4¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$303 @ 57.5¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$25 @ 42.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$25 @ 29.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$224 @ 32.1¢
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Lost
No$396 @ 5.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$113 @ 22.1¢
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$25 @ 37.0¢
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?Won
25bps cut$201 @ 67.0¢
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?Lost
No Change$59 @ 6.5¢
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$54 @ 21.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$276 @ 28.9¢
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$691 @ 86.0¢
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$24 @ 17.0¢
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$20 @ 41.9¢
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$45 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$500 @ 41.9¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Lost
Yes$55 @ 22.0¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Lost
No$137 @ 38.3¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Won
Yes$288 @ 66.3¢
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$119 @ 57.6¢
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$117 @ 32.2¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$799 @ 38.1¢
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$409 @ 35.4¢
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.9¢
Will Heather Humphreys win by 0–5%?Lost
Yes$21 @ 10.8¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 42.6¢
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Won
Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$411 @ 6.5¢
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$62 @ 14.2¢
Will Heather Humphreys win by 20% or more?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Big Game: Coin Toss Team WinnerLost
SEA$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$58 @ 32.7¢
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$121 @ 12.0¢
Big Game: Coin TossLost
Tails$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$25 @ 45.5¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Lost
Yes$116 @ 58.0¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$202 @ 28.8¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$101 @ 60.9¢
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$854 @ 85.0¢
Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?Lost
Yes$101 @ 14.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$60 @ 10.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$3.0k	60.4¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$87	29.0¢
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$49	4.5¢
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$49	0.7¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2	12.0¢

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$3.0k @ 60.4¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$87 @ 29.0¢
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$49 @ 4.5¢
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$49 @ 0.7¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢