0xb675…3d65

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb6756421bd99a7cd51e1c205766d7e51d93d3d65
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.1pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

50% @ 45.9¢

Brier

0.187

Resolved

688

Avg size

$205

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (88/207)	+8%	207
Politics	38% (8/21)	+3%	21
Geopolitics	75% (3/4)	+12%	4
Economy	33% (1/3)	+24%	3

Other207 bets
Hit rate
43% (88/207)
ROI
+8%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
38% (8/21)
ROI
+3%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+12%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+24%

Track record

43% hit · 100/235

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will fewer than 330 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?	Yes	$10	5.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$130	28.0¢	Lost
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	No	$70	69.0¢	Won
Will between 340 and 349 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$10.2k	85.4¢	Won
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?	Yes	$4	7.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?	Yes	$3	9.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 8, 2026?	Yes	$5	3.4¢	Lost
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	No	$400	83.0¢	Won
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	$10	30.2¢	Won
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?	No	$21	18.6¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Jaguars	Seahawks	$20	53.0¢	Won
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	$190	42.6¢	Lost
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$1000	80.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?	Yes	$27	1.7¢	Lost
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	No	$514	28.5¢	Lost
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$8.5k	86.3¢	Won
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Mariners vs. Blue Jays	Blue Jays	$125	41.4¢	Won
Mariners vs. Blue Jays	Mariners	$32	62.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$300	89.6¢	Won
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?	Yes	$262	22.7¢	Lost
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?	Yes	$75	34.5¢	Won
Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	$15	30.0¢	Won
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	Yes	$155	18.3¢	Won
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	Yes	$20	11.0¢	Lost
Dolphins vs. Steelers	Dolphins	$10	39.0¢	Lost
Gervonta Davis arrested by January 25, 2026?	Yes	$21	19.7¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?	No	$1.1k	49.4¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$266	26.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$3.3k	79.3¢	Won
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$15	5.0¢	Lost
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?	Yes	$127	7.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 7, 2026?	Yes	$7	3.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 19?	No	$15	55.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 19?	Yes	$25	44.9¢	Lost
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?	Yes	$5.6k	85.8¢	Won
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?	Yes	$55	60.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?	Yes	$25	47.1¢	Won
Will between 400 and 409 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$250	64.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	6.4¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?	Yes	$100	84.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22?	No	$35	45.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22?	Yes	$5	60.4¢	Won
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?	No	$856	83.2¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?	Yes	$9	3.9¢	Lost
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	Yes	$80	39.1¢	Won

Will fewer than 330 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$130 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Won
No$70 @ 69.0¢
Will between 340 and 349 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
No$10.2k @ 85.4¢
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.4¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Won
No$400 @ 83.0¢
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
No$10 @ 30.2¢
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Lost
No$21 @ 18.6¢
Seahawks vs. JaguarsWon
Seahawks$20 @ 53.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Lost
No$190 @ 42.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1000 @ 80.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?Lost
Yes$27 @ 1.7¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Lost
No$514 @ 28.5¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Won
Yes$8.5k @ 86.3¢
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Mariners vs. Blue JaysWon
Blue Jays$125 @ 41.4¢
Mariners vs. Blue JaysLost
Mariners$32 @ 62.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 89.6¢
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$262 @ 22.7¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?Won
Yes$75 @ 34.5¢
Chargers vs. ChiefsWon
Chargers$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Won
Yes$155 @ 18.3¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
Dolphins vs. SteelersLost
Dolphins$10 @ 39.0¢
Gervonta Davis arrested by January 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$21 @ 19.7¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 49.4¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$266 @ 26.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$3.3k @ 79.3¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
No$15 @ 5.0¢
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?Lost
Yes$127 @ 7.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 19?Won
No$15 @ 55.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 19?Lost
Yes$25 @ 44.9¢
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?Won
Yes$5.6k @ 85.8¢
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?Won
Yes$55 @ 60.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?Won
Yes$25 @ 47.1¢
Will between 400 and 409 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Lost
Yes$250 @ 64.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 6.4¢
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Won
Yes$100 @ 84.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22?Lost
No$35 @ 45.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22?Won
Yes$5 @ 60.4¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?Lost
No$856 @ 83.2¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Lost
Yes$9 @ 3.9¢
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Won
Yes$80 @ 39.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$466	63.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$75	48.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	33.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$7	12.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$3	6.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	42.1¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$466 @ 63.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$75 @ 48.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 33.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$7 @ 12.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 42.1¢