0xb5b8…f0cb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb5b8eb95db0c651af2b83fb804cc0b700ce5f0cb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.1pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

61% @ 55.8¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

1799

Avg size

$438

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	62% (46/74)	+8%	74
Sports	13% (1/8)	+16%	8
Politics	100% (7/7)	+14%	7

Other74 bets
Hit rate
62% (46/74)
ROI
+8%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
+16%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
100% (7/7)
ROI
+14%

Track record

61% hit · 54/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$49.0k	56.3¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$209	88.5¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.6k	20.6¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?	Yes	$31.4k	41.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$42	73.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$328	4.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$1.8k	82.6¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$65.1k	74.2¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$2.7k	72.3¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?	No	$2.1k	39.3¢	Won
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?	No	$6.7k	58.0¢	Lost
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$1.9k	17.0¢	Lost
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?	Yes	$5.8k	48.0¢	Won
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	$574	62.3¢	Won
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?	Yes	$5.7k	52.4¢	Won
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$99.4k	72.6¢	Won
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	No	$8.7k	43.3¢	Won
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$28.6k	72.2¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?	Yes	$1.5k	0.9¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$460	5.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$1.5k	82.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$768	10.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	$1.9k	84.6¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$138	3.7¢	Lost
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?	No	$7.3k	84.8¢	Won
Will John Mulaney actually fight children?	No	$820	82.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?	Yes	$5.4k	67.3¢	Won
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	No	$1.4k	66.8¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$452	5.8¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?	No	$8.9k	78.5¢	Won
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?	No	$44	79.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$1.9k	39.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$11.0k	50.2¢	Lost
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	No	$369	85.7¢	Won
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$7.5k	30.0¢	Lost
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?	No	$376	88.0¢	Won
Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?	No	$543	63.1¢	Won
Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?	No	$142	71.0¢	Lost
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?	Yes	$17.0k	43.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	$1.8k	85.0¢	Lost
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	No	$3.5k	66.4¢	Lost
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?	No	$80	86.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$866	11.1¢	Won
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	No	$23.4k	77.0¢	Won
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$3.4k	55.0¢	Lost
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?	Yes	$183	85.0¢	Won
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$53.5k	66.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?	Yes	$2.5k	67.8¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	$23.7k	73.5¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	England	$129	86.0¢	Won

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
Yes$49.0k @ 56.3¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$209 @ 88.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 20.6¢
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?Won
Yes$31.4k @ 41.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$42 @ 73.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$328 @ 4.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
No$1.8k @ 82.6¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$65.1k @ 74.2¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 72.3¢
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?Won
No$2.1k @ 39.3¢
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Lost
No$6.7k @ 58.0¢
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 17.0¢
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Won
Yes$5.8k @ 48.0¢
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?Won
Yes$574 @ 62.3¢
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Won
Yes$5.7k @ 52.4¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$99.4k @ 72.6¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Won
No$8.7k @ 43.3¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$28.6k @ 72.2¢
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 0.9¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$460 @ 5.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$1.5k @ 82.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$768 @ 10.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Lost
No$1.9k @ 84.6¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$138 @ 3.7¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?Won
No$7.3k @ 84.8¢
Will John Mulaney actually fight children?Lost
No$820 @ 82.0¢
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Won
Yes$5.4k @ 67.3¢
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Won
No$1.4k @ 66.8¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$452 @ 5.8¢
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?Won
No$8.9k @ 78.5¢
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Won
No$44 @ 79.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
No$1.9k @ 39.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$11.0k @ 50.2¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Won
No$369 @ 85.7¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$7.5k @ 30.0¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?Won
No$376 @ 88.0¢
Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?Won
No$543 @ 63.1¢
Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?Lost
No$142 @ 71.0¢
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Lost
Yes$17.0k @ 43.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Lost
No$1.8k @ 85.0¢
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
No$3.5k @ 66.4¢
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Won
No$80 @ 86.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$866 @ 11.1¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
No$23.4k @ 77.0¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 55.0¢
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Won
Yes$183 @ 85.0¢
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
Yes$53.5k @ 66.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 67.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Lost
Yes$23.7k @ 73.5¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWon
England$129 @ 86.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$38.3k	91.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$4.8k	91.3¢
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	77.9¢
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	Politics	Yes	$445	72.9¢
Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Politics	No	$200	79.9¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$38.3k @ 91.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$4.8k @ 91.3¢
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 77.9¢
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Politics
Yes$445 @ 72.9¢
Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Politics
No$200 @ 79.9¢