← Smart money
0xb4d2…fa62
SharpEdge
+8.8pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
62% @ 53.6¢
Brier
0.117
Resolved
601
Avg size
$259
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (30/54) | +20% | 54 |
| Politics | 52% (15/29) | +13% | 29 |
| Sports | 32% (9/28) | +2% | 28 |
| Economy | 50% (2/4) | -37% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +21% | 2 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -23% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other54 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (30/54)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics29 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (15/29)
- ROI
- +13%
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (9/28)
- ROI
- +2%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -37%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +21%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -23%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
48% hit · 58/121- 9z$3 @ 3.0¢
- Team Falcons$192 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$13.8k @ 92.2¢
- No$3.7k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.2¢
- LOUD$872 @ 69.1¢
- Switzerland$32 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$82 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 0.2¢
- No$262 @ 58.1¢
- Yes$684 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$64 @ 6.2¢
- No$190 @ 88.2¢
- No$18 @ 84.2¢
- Vici Gaming$34 @ 17.0¢
- No$28 @ 14.0¢
- Over$6 @ 39.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 56.9¢
- G2 Esports$316 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 18.4¢
- Team Liquid$23 @ 22.0¢
- No$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$171 @ 80.9¢
- Yes$7.1k @ 48.1¢
- Yes$498 @ 82.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$708 @ 14.2¢
- Yes$265 @ 53.2¢
- Yes$106 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$31 @ 3.0¢
- No$46 @ 11.5¢
- Spain$271 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 32.8¢
- Nigma Galaxy$340 @ 37.0¢
- No$888 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$67 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 26.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 67.6¢
- No$6.1k @ 71.0¢
- HULIGANI$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 77.5¢
- Team Liquid$20 @ 20.0¢
- Team Spirit$166 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 21.2¢
- Yes$190 @ 6.3¢
- No$5 @ 23.0¢
- Team Spirit$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$71 @ 76.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $12.5k | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $12.5k | 50.0¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $769 | 76.9¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $516 | 22.4¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $472 | 45.0¢ |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $470 | 94.0¢ |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Sports | Team Falcons | $192 | 38.4¢ |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $73 | 87.3¢ |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | Sports | Team Spirit | $70 | 71.0¢ |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner | Sports | 9z | $8 | 8.0¢ |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | Sports | 9z | $3 | 3.0¢ |
- Yes$12.5k @ 50.0¢
- No$12.5k @ 50.0¢
- No$769 @ 76.9¢
- Yes$516 @ 22.4¢
- Yes$472 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$470 @ 94.0¢
- Team Falcons$192 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$73 @ 87.3¢
- Team Spirit$70 @ 71.0¢
- 9z$8 @ 8.0¢
- 9z$3 @ 3.0¢