0xb4be…2309

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb4bebe9b1790ac0a90aa8139b48e71a310f42309
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.5pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

26% @ 18.5¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

277

Avg size

$17

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	28% (27/95)	+12%	95
Crypto	50% (6/12)	+110%	12

Other95 bets
Hit rate
28% (27/95)
ROI
+12%
Crypto12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+110%

Track record

31% hit · 33/107

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	$105	21.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?	Yes	$20	13.0¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$58	11.6¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Raptors	Raptors	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 21?	Yes	$20	12.0¢	Lost
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?	No	$5	11.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$255	22.5¢	Won
Bulls vs. Grizzlies	Bulls	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?	Yes	$21	19.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?	Yes	$19	10.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 18?	Yes	$6	12.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?	No	$85	49.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 22?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 7?	Yes	$6	3.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?	No	$17	33.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	$75	23.7¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$33	14.5¢	Won
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$42	4.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?	No	$26	26.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?	No	$1	4.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 6?	Yes	$26	11.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?	Yes	$48	28.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?	Yes	$90	6.4¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?	Yes	$45	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	Yes	$263	29.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$9	15.0¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	$20	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?	Yes	$46	15.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 19?	Yes	$53	9.7¢	Lost
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?	Yes	$40	15.0¢	Lost
Will the Steelers beat the Giants by 6 or more points?	Giants	$1	48.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 4?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?	Yes	$42	52.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 20?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Won
Jazz vs. Mavericks	Jazz	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Google reach $315 in November?	No	$0	10.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$46	23.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 10?	No	$5	2.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 6?	Yes	$21	12.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?	Yes	$13	1.5¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Pistons	Knicks	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15?	Yes	$28	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 20?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$3	19.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$21	41.0¢	Won
Scorigami in NFL Week 8?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	No	$4	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more during Warren, MI rally?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	$245	59.5¢	Won

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Lost
No$105 @ 21.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?Lost
Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Lost
Yes$58 @ 11.6¢
Nuggets vs. RaptorsLost
Raptors$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 21?Lost
Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?Won
No$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$255 @ 22.5¢
Bulls vs. GrizzliesWon
Bulls$2 @ 31.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?Lost
Yes$21 @ 19.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?Lost
Yes$19 @ 10.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 18?Lost
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Lost
No$85 @ 49.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 7?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?Lost
No$17 @ 33.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?Won
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Lost
Yes$75 @ 23.7¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$33 @ 14.5¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$42 @ 4.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Lost
No$26 @ 26.0¢
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Lost
No$1 @ 4.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 6?Lost
Yes$26 @ 11.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?Won
Yes$48 @ 28.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Lost
Yes$90 @ 6.4¢
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?Lost
Yes$45 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Lost
Yes$263 @ 29.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 15.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?Lost
Yes$46 @ 15.3¢
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 19?Lost
Yes$53 @ 9.7¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 15.0¢
Will the Steelers beat the Giants by 6 or more points?Lost
Giants$1 @ 48.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 4?Lost
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?Won
Yes$42 @ 52.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 20?Won
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Jazz vs. MavericksLost
Jazz$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Google reach $315 in November?Lost
No$0 @ 10.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$46 @ 23.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 10?Lost
No$5 @ 2.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 6?Lost
Yes$21 @ 12.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?Lost
Yes$13 @ 1.5¢
Knicks vs. PistonsLost
Knicks$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15?Lost
Yes$28 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 20?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Won
Yes$3 @ 19.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
No$21 @ 41.0¢
Scorigami in NFL Week 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?Lost
No$4 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more during Warren, MI rally?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Won
No$245 @ 59.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$337	6.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$108	27.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$45	11.0¢

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$337 @ 6.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$108 @ 27.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$45 @ 11.0¢