0xb4aa…d040

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb4aafe56a9e2e8aefc87df5d6b8ef137a5d1d040
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+13.5pp

ROI

+108%

Win rate

40% @ 26.8¢

Brier

0.236

Resolved

Avg size

$76

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	28% (7/25)	+111%	25
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other25 bets
Hit rate
28% (7/25)
ROI
+111%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

26% hit · 7/27

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$6	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 5?	Yes	$19	15.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$34	77.0¢	Won
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	$21	49.8¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$39	82.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$139	0.3¢	Lost
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	$128	53.0¢	Lost
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?	No	$5	15.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$32	9.0¢	Won
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$36	16.1¢	Lost
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	$66	30.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$3.0k	29.5¢	Won
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$375	35.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?	Yes	$13	42.0¢	Won
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	$32	5.5¢	Lost
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Panathinaikos	$642	67.9¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabher	Paula Badosa	$46	84.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?	Yes	$125	26.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$78	69.4¢	Won
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$18	47.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 5?	Yes	$106	18.9¢	Won
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$195	30.6¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$16	1.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 8?	Yes	$221	39.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 6?	Yes	$66	44.0¢	Lost

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 5?Lost
Yes$19 @ 15.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Won
Yes$34 @ 77.0¢
Valencia vs. PanathinaikosLost
Panathinaikos$21 @ 49.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$39 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$139 @ 0.3¢
Valencia vs. PanathinaikosLost
Panathinaikos$128 @ 53.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Lost
No$5 @ 15.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$32 @ 9.0¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 16.1¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Lost
No$66 @ 30.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 29.5¢
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$375 @ 35.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?Won
Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?Lost
Yes$32 @ 5.5¢
Panathinaikos vs. ValenciaLost
Panathinaikos$642 @ 67.9¢
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia GrabherLost
Paula Badosa$46 @ 84.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?Lost
Yes$125 @ 26.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$78 @ 69.4¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 5?Won
Yes$106 @ 18.9¢
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$195 @ 30.6¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
No$16 @ 1.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 8?Lost
Yes$221 @ 39.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 6?Lost
Yes$66 @ 44.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Politics	No	$171	19.6¢

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?Politics
No$171 @ 19.6¢