0xb451…d7b3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb4516f9562b5f5bbd25959009cf774818eb1d7b3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-9.1pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

30% @ 38.9¢

Brier

0.170

Resolved

1852

Avg size

$242

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	28% (81/290)	-31%	290
Other	11% (3/28)	-24%	28

Sports290 bets
Hit rate
28% (81/290)
ROI
-31%
Other28 bets
Hit rate
11% (3/28)
ROI
-24%

Track record

26% hit · 84/318

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	No	$205.3k	71.3¢	Lost
Spread: Ole Miss (-10.5)	Auburn	$303	50.7¢	Lost
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	$702	47.0¢	Lost
Spread: South Carolina (-6.5)	Oklahoma	$153	41.0¢	Lost
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Under	$41	52.0¢	Lost
SD Eibar vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5	Under	$195	61.0¢	Lost
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	$50	67.0¢	Lost
Spread: Air Force (-6.5)	UConn	$487	44.0¢	Lost
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$20	39.0¢	Lost
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Trail Blazers	$236	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	Knicks	$35	44.0¢	Lost
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$32	58.6¢	Lost
Spread: Rockets (-20.5)	Thunder	$442	45.2¢	Lost
Will PFC Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-31?	No	$9	50.0¢	Lost
Will Dewa United win on 2026-10-31?	No	$1.2k	65.8¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 230.5	Under	$140	49.0¢	Lost
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda	BC Neptunas Klaipeda	$22	56.0¢	Lost
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-10-31?	No	$9	47.0¢	Lost
Spread: Baylor (-5.5)	UCF	$235	49.0¢	Lost
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Lakers	$399	51.7¢	Lost
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	FC Schalke 04	$22	56.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5	Under	$733	49.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5	Under	$28	32.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5)	Auburn	$1.3k	52.6¢	Lost
Spread: Kent State (-5.5)	Kent State	$231	54.0¢	Lost
Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$197	56.1¢	Lost
Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Panthers	$81	54.0¢	Lost
Astros de Jalisco vs. Fuerza Regia	Fuerza Regia	$11	38.0¢	Lost
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Lakers	$47	47.0¢	Lost
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5	Under	$19	47.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Timberwolves	$301	38.9¢	Lost
Spread: Penn State (-10.5)	Purdue	$616	44.1¢	Lost
Will Yongin FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	$10	35.0¢	Lost
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Suns	$393	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	$2.2k	44.4¢	Lost
Spread: Heat (-6.5)	Pacers	$52	37.0¢	Lost
Al Shahaniya vs. Al Ahli Doha SC: O/U 1.5	Under	$170	52.0¢	Lost
SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Under	$2.0k	63.2¢	Lost
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	$406	74.0¢	Lost
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	$30	59.0¢	Lost
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	$46	52.0¢	Lost
Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$23	58.0¢	Lost
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$7	34.3¢	Lost
Dewa United vs. Persija Jakarta: O/U 2.5	Under	$501	48.3¢	Lost
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$4	27.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$14	35.5¢	Lost
Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Under	$201	46.0¢	Lost
CSD Macara vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5	Under	$82	57.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5	Over	$108	48.0¢	Lost
Spread: Texas Tech (-3.5)	Arizona	$588	49.0¢	Lost

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Lost
No$205.3k @ 71.3¢
Spread: Ole Miss (-10.5)Lost
Auburn$303 @ 50.7¢
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$702 @ 47.0¢
Spread: South Carolina (-6.5)Lost
Oklahoma$153 @ 41.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$41 @ 52.0¢
SD Eibar vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$195 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Lost
Manchester United FC$50 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Air Force (-6.5)Lost
UConn$487 @ 44.0¢
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 39.0¢
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Lost
Trail Blazers$236 @ 51.0¢
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Lost
Knicks$35 @ 44.0¢
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$32 @ 58.6¢
Spread: Rockets (-20.5)Lost
Thunder$442 @ 45.2¢
Will PFC Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-31?Lost
No$9 @ 50.0¢
Will Dewa United win on 2026-10-31?Lost
No$1.2k @ 65.8¢
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Lost
Under$140 @ 49.0¢
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas KlaipedaLost
BC Neptunas Klaipeda$22 @ 56.0¢
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-10-31?Lost
No$9 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Baylor (-5.5)Lost
UCF$235 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lost
Lakers$399 @ 51.7¢
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Lost
FC Schalke 04$22 @ 56.0¢
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Lost
Under$733 @ 49.0¢
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Lost
Under$28 @ 32.0¢
Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5)Lost
Auburn$1.3k @ 52.6¢
Spread: Kent State (-5.5)Lost
Kent State$231 @ 54.0¢
Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$197 @ 56.1¢
Spread: Packers (-4.5)Lost
Panthers$81 @ 54.0¢
Astros de Jalisco vs. Fuerza RegiaLost
Fuerza Regia$11 @ 38.0¢
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lost
Lakers$47 @ 47.0¢
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$19 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Lost
Timberwolves$301 @ 38.9¢
Spread: Penn State (-10.5)Lost
Purdue$616 @ 44.1¢
Will Yongin FC win on 2026-10-31?Lost
No$10 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Lost
Suns$393 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Lost
Raptors$2.2k @ 44.4¢
Spread: Heat (-6.5)Lost
Pacers$52 @ 37.0¢
Al Shahaniya vs. Al Ahli Doha SC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$170 @ 52.0¢
SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$2.0k @ 63.2¢
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?Lost
No$406 @ 74.0¢
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-10-30?Lost
Yes$30 @ 59.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Lost
FC Bayern München$46 @ 52.0¢
Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$23 @ 58.0¢
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 34.3¢
Dewa United vs. Persija Jakarta: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$501 @ 48.3¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 27.0¢
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$14 @ 35.5¢
Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$201 @ 46.0¢
CSD Macara vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$82 @ 57.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Lost
Over$108 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Texas Tech (-3.5)Lost
Arizona$588 @ 49.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	—	No	$205.3k	71.3¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	—	Yes	$65.1k	36.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	—	No	$58.0k	58.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	—	Switzerland	$50.0k	25.3¢
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Sports	Thunder	$14.2k	46.9¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	—	Portugal	$7.4k	34.8¢
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Sports	Thunder	$7.1k	57.9¢
Will Kocaelispor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?	Sports	No	$6.9k	72.3¢
Marshall vs. Old Dominion: O/U 59.5	Sports	Over	$5.8k	51.0¢
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Sports	Chiefs	$5.0k	67.0¢
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5	Sports	Under	$3.8k	48.4¢
Tulane vs. Charlotte	Sports	Charlotte	$3.0k	54.2¢
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)	Sports	Eagles	$2.9k	47.0¢
Spread: Indiana (-23.5)	Sports	Indiana	$2.8k	46.0¢
Minnesota vs. Indiana	Sports	Minnesota	$2.7k	40.5¢
Spread: BYU (-21.5)	Sports	BYU	$2.4k	47.0¢
Spread: Utah State (-17.5)	Sports	Utah State	$2.3k	43.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Sports	Raptors	$2.2k	44.4¢
SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$2.0k	63.2¢
Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5	Sports	Under	$1.7k	64.3¢
Illinois vs. Maryland: O/U 45.5	Sports	Over	$1.7k	40.5¢
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Sports	Spurs	$1.7k	49.6¢
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Sports	Lakers	$1.6k	53.6¢
Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 59.5	Sports	Under	$1.6k	52.0¢
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)	Sports	Eagles	$1.6k	52.0¢
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Sports	Hornets	$1.5k	51.4¢
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)	Sports	Auburn	$1.4k	49.1¢
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Sports	Spurs	$1.4k	46.2¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-24.5)	Sports	Bucks	$1.3k	51.4¢
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-4.5)	Sports	Georgia State	$1.3k	41.9¢

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?—
No$205.3k @ 71.3¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?—
Yes$65.1k @ 36.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?—
No$58.0k @ 58.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance—
Switzerland$50.0k @ 25.3¢
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Sports
Thunder$14.2k @ 46.9¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance—
Portugal$7.4k @ 34.8¢
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Sports
Thunder$7.1k @ 57.9¢
Will Kocaelispor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?Sports
No$6.9k @ 72.3¢
Marshall vs. Old Dominion: O/U 59.5Sports
Over$5.8k @ 51.0¢
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Sports
Chiefs$5.0k @ 67.0¢
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Sports
Under$3.8k @ 48.4¢
Tulane vs. CharlotteSports
Charlotte$3.0k @ 54.2¢
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Sports
Eagles$2.9k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Indiana (-23.5)Sports
Indiana$2.8k @ 46.0¢
Minnesota vs. IndianaSports
Minnesota$2.7k @ 40.5¢
Spread: BYU (-21.5)Sports
BYU$2.4k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Utah State (-17.5)Sports
Utah State$2.3k @ 43.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Sports
Raptors$2.2k @ 44.4¢
SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$2.0k @ 63.2¢
Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Sports
Under$1.7k @ 64.3¢
Illinois vs. Maryland: O/U 45.5Sports
Over$1.7k @ 40.5¢
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Sports
Spurs$1.7k @ 49.6¢
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Sports
Lakers$1.6k @ 53.6¢
Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 59.5Sports
Under$1.6k @ 52.0¢
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)Sports
Eagles$1.6k @ 52.0¢
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Sports
Hornets$1.5k @ 51.4¢
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)Sports
Auburn$1.4k @ 49.1¢
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Sports
Spurs$1.4k @ 46.2¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-24.5)Sports
Bucks$1.3k @ 51.4¢
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-4.5)Sports
Georgia State$1.3k @ 41.9¢