0xb410…57eb

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Sports17 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (7/17)

  ROI

  +12%

• Tech14 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (8/14)

  ROI

  +35%

• Other9 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (6/9)

  ROI

  +31%

• Politics2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +56%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +18%

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Won
  No$300 @ 31.4¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?Won
  No$101 @ 73.4¢
• Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$82 @ 32.6¢
• Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?Won
  Yes$102 @ 53.0¢
• Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Won
  Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
• Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?Won
  Yes$102 @ 65.0¢
• Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Lost
  No$394 @ 61.3¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Won
  No$308 @ 34.0¢
• World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. OliseWon
  Dembele$10 @ 39.8¢
• Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$265 @ 38.3¢
• Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
• Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Won
  No$347 @ 42.3¢
• Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?Lost
  Yes$52 @ 30.0¢
• Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Won
  Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Lost
  No$102 @ 42.2¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
  Yes$310 @ 18.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
  Yes$102 @ 41.0¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Won
  No$204 @ 50.0¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Won
  No$304 @ 67.6¢
• Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$204 @ 26.2¢
• Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 19.7¢
• United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
  Belgium$102 @ 48.0¢
• Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 36.0¢
• Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 18.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$104 @ 21.0¢
• Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$504 @ 70.4¢
• Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Lost
  Yes$507 @ 66.6¢
• Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
  Yes$109 @ 36.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Won
  No$905 @ 84.9¢
• Will Hull City win on 2026-07-28?Won
  Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
• Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
• Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
  No$206 @ 44.6¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Lost
  No$257 @ 33.5¢
• Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Won
  Yes$204 @ 64.0¢
• Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Lost
  No$101 @ 67.0¢
• Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Won
  Yes$103 @ 16.8¢
• World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoLost
  Ronaldo$10 @ 41.0¢
• Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Won
  Yes$102 @ 32.0¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Won
  No$203 @ 59.0¢
• Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Lost
  Over$42 @ 19.5¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$517 @ 37.9¢
• Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 22.0¢

Current positions

• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.3k @ 53.1¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Business
  No$500 @ 69.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Business
  Yes$500 @ 67.0¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
  Yes$500 @ 45.0¢
• Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech
  No$462 @ 56.9¢
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  No$400 @ 47.9¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Tech
  No$300 @ 31.4¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
  Yes$300 @ 23.3¢
• Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Tech
  Yes$200 @ 39.5¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
  No$200 @ 41.0¢
• Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
  Yes$200 @ 20.4¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?Tech
  Yes$100 @ 18.9¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$100 @ 34.0¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
  Yes$100 @ 12.0¢
• Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
  Yes$100 @ 6.9¢
• Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$50 @ 32.9¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$50 @ 31.0¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech
  Yes$20 @ 6.9¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Tech
  Yes$11 @ 5.6¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Tech
  Yes$9 @ 9.6¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Tech
  Yes$1 @ 1.4¢