0xb3fb…a324

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb3fbacf1fcfd5188738e43cad25c9b3fd753a324
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+0.7pp

ROI

+79%

Win rate

1% @ 0.7¢

Brier

0.014

Resolved

1091

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	5% (2/44)	+117%	44
Sports	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other44 bets
Hit rate
5% (2/44)
ROI
+117%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

3% hit · 2/59

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Lost
Will Czech Republic win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Greece win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$13	0.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	$9	2.4¢	Won
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?	Yes	$12	1.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	$0	2.4¢	Lost
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Serbia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$11	0.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	$6	1.6¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	$0	2.3¢	Lost
Will Poland win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?	Yes	$3	1.3¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	Yes	$23	2.1¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $150 in March?	Yes	$3	1.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	Yes	$2	2.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Will Iran win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ukraine win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	Yes	$0	2.4¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?	Yes	$12	1.3¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be less than $5.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	$7	1.8¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?	Yes	$4	5.7¢	Lost

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Czech Republic win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Greece win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Won
Yes$9 @ 2.4¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Won
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Croatia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Serbia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.1¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.6¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
Will Poland win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Lost
Yes$23 @ 2.1¢
Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Solana reach $150 in March?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?Lost
No$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will Iran win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Ukraine win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.3¢
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will Turkiye win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be less than $5.5B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Will Spain win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.8¢
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$221	14.8¢
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$160	13.0¢
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Politics	Yes	$110	11.6¢
Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$66	3.4¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$50	0.4¢
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$48	2.1¢
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$36	0.7¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$33	13.0¢
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$30	0.5¢
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$23	8.0¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$21	0.9¢
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$18	9.1¢
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$12	13.8¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	Politics	Yes	$12	0.2¢
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$5	13.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.6¢
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$3	2.5¢
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$3	9.3¢
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$3	6.3¢
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$2	18.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Politics	Yes	$1	11.6¢
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.5¢
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$0	1.3¢

Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$221 @ 14.8¢
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics
Yes$160 @ 13.0¢
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Politics
Yes$110 @ 11.6¢
Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$66 @ 3.4¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$50 @ 0.4¢
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$48 @ 2.1¢
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$36 @ 0.7¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$33 @ 13.0¢
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$30 @ 0.5¢
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$23 @ 8.0¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$21 @ 0.9¢
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$18 @ 9.1¢
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$12 @ 13.8¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?Politics
Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 2.5¢
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?Other
Yes$3 @ 9.3¢
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?Other
Yes$3 @ 6.3¢
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?Other
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Politics
Yes$1 @ 11.6¢
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?Other
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢