0xb397…7c2e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb3970d012429d68ba11d9263b781e67271f17c2e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+14.3pp

ROI

+138%

Win rate

61% @ 46.7¢

Brier

0.248

Resolved

549

Avg size

$11

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (31/47)	+1%	47
Tech	100% (4/4)	+36%	4
Sports	25% (1/4)	+466%	4
Politics	100% (1/1)	+56%	1

Other47 bets
Hit rate
66% (31/47)
ROI
+1%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+36%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+466%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+56%

Track record

66% hit · 37/56

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	Yes	$65	81.0¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$36	71.2¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	$3	52.0¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$437	73.2¢	Won
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?	Yes	$48	64.0¢	Won
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	$107	89.0¢	Won
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$13	83.3¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$63	44.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	$4	26.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$13	79.8¢	Won
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?	Yes	$47	46.8¢	Lost
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?	Yes	$33	27.2¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$247	66.4¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$58	8.2¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?	Yes	$77	80.6¢	Won
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	$38	31.6¢	Won
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$8	9.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$155	40.8¢	Lost
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$204	80.5¢	Won
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$125	59.8¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?	Yes	$75	67.9¢	Won
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?	Yes	$105	25.0¢	Lost
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5	Under	$17	83.5¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	$179	74.7¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?	Yes	$271	82.8¢	Won
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	$93	89.0¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?	Yes	$114	74.8¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.5k	15.9¢	Won
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?	Yes	$86	50.6¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$76	2.7¢	Lost
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$117	45.0¢	Won
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 2% on any day in Q1?	Yes	$15	76.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$43	40.8¢	Won
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	$175	88.3¢	Won
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$81	61.2¢	Lost
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?	Yes	$107	54.9¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	$334	88.1¢	Won
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$48	64.0¢	Won
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Under	$16	80.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$63	77.7¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$51	64.0¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$63	26.2¢	Lost
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$155	70.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	$16	82.5¢	Won
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$37	2.9¢	Lost
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$54	72.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$3	45.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?	Yes	$149	73.3¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	$93	55.5¢	Won

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?Won
Yes$65 @ 81.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Won
Yes$36 @ 71.2¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$437 @ 73.2¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?Won
Yes$48 @ 64.0¢
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
Yes$107 @ 89.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$13 @ 83.3¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$63 @ 44.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$13 @ 79.8¢
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?Lost
Yes$47 @ 46.8¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?Won
Yes$33 @ 27.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$247 @ 66.4¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$58 @ 8.2¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?Won
Yes$77 @ 80.6¢
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$38 @ 31.6¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$8 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
No$155 @ 40.8¢
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$204 @ 80.5¢
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?Won
Yes$125 @ 59.8¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?Won
Yes$75 @ 67.9¢
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?Lost
Yes$105 @ 25.0¢
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$17 @ 83.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
No$179 @ 74.7¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?Won
Yes$271 @ 82.8¢
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Won
Under$93 @ 89.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?Lost
Yes$114 @ 74.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 15.9¢
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?Won
Yes$86 @ 50.6¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$76 @ 2.7¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$117 @ 45.0¢
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 2% on any day in Q1?Won
Yes$15 @ 76.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Won
Yes$43 @ 40.8¢
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Won
Under$175 @ 88.3¢
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?Lost
Yes$81 @ 61.2¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?Won
Yes$107 @ 54.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Won
No$334 @ 88.1¢
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$48 @ 64.0¢
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Won
Under$16 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?Won
No$63 @ 77.7¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$51 @ 64.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$63 @ 26.2¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$155 @ 70.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Won
Yes$16 @ 82.5¢
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$37 @ 2.9¢
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$54 @ 72.5¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
No$3 @ 45.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?Lost
Yes$149 @ 73.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?Won
Yes$93 @ 55.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$437	73.2¢
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$151	91.5¢
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?	—	Yes	$83	60.9¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$65	81.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	—	Yes	$63	26.2¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$58	8.2¢
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?	—	Yes	$47	46.8¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$36	71.2¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 12?	Business	Down	$35	88.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?	—	Yes	$9	89.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3	52.0¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 12?	Business	Up	$2	7.0¢

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$437 @ 73.2¢
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5—
Under$151 @ 91.5¢
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?—
Yes$83 @ 60.9¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$65 @ 81.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?—
Yes$63 @ 26.2¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$58 @ 8.2¢
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?—
Yes$47 @ 46.8¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$36 @ 71.2¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 12?Business
Down$35 @ 88.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?—
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Tech
Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 12?Business
Up$2 @ 7.0¢