0xb2f9…eb15

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb2f997f2ad6b8b26cca66cf2f1c2f5bc8647eb15
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

33% @ 30.5¢

Brier

0.195

Resolved

1895

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (267/721)	+11%	721
Sports	44% (88/198)	-10%	198
Politics	40% (4/10)	-66%	10
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+456%	1

Other721 bets
Hit rate
37% (267/721)
ROI
+11%
Sports198 bets
Hit rate
44% (88/198)
ROI
-10%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-66%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+456%

Track record

39% hit · 360/933

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	LYON	$10	59.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)	LOUD	$33	43.4¢	Won
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	$59	50.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?	Yes	$77	4.2¢	Lost
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner	Skillcamp Esport	$36	66.0¢	Won
Over $2.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?	Yes	$20	13.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	$49	49.0¢	Won
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5	Over	$10	47.0¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$65	15.4¢	Lost
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)	Sri Lanka	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?	Yes	$17	10.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump dance on June 5, 2026?	Yes	$5	28.0¢	Won
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner	LOS	$10	47.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?	Yes	$6	26.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner	Nuclear TigeRES	$4	25.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?	Yes	$8	15.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Saudi PM events on November 18?	No	$23	41.9¢	Lost
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	$26	49.8¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)	MOUZ	$19	33.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)	Team Spirit	$90	29.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$24	50.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	$95	53.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	$25	63.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	GamerLegion	$42	65.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	$18	33.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Operation" or "Spear" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?	Yes	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "UFC" during the America Business Forum on November 5?	Yes	$27	25.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during dinner with Dutch royals?	No	$4	50.0¢	Won
Will Melania say "Talent" during AI talk on Friday?	Yes	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C	100 Thieves	$35	56.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C	Phantom	$20	19.0¢	Lost
Will Kathy Hochul say "Gay" or "LGBT" during the State of the State address?	Yes	$29	28.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	$15	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	No	$56	5.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$30	11.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	9z	$50	63.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?	Yes	$65	42.0¢	Lost
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Weibo Gaming	$24	41.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?	Yes	$18	20.1¢	Lost
Athens Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	$31	69.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	$49	6.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	Eternal Fire	$17	48.5¢	Won
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner	Movistar KOI	$25	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Coach" 15+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?	Yes	$32	31.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during Saudi PM events on November 18?	No	$102	28.1¢	Lost

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerWon
LYON$10 @ 59.0¢
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)Won
LOUD$33 @ 43.4¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerLost
Movistar KOI$59 @ 50.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG - Game 1 WinnerLost
OG$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Lost
Yes$77 @ 4.2¢
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Lodis - Game 2 WinnerWon
Skillcamp Esport$36 @ 66.0¢
Over $2.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?Lost
Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerWon
TheMongolz$49 @ 49.0¢
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$10 @ 47.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$65 @ 15.4¢
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)Lost
Sri Lanka$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Lost
Yes$17 @ 10.0¢
Will Donald Trump dance on June 5, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerLost
LOS$10 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?Lost
Yes$6 @ 26.3¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerWon
Nuclear TigeRES$4 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?Won
Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Lost
No$23 @ 41.9¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
GIANTX$26 @ 49.8¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)Won
MOUZ$19 @ 33.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)Lost
Team Spirit$90 @ 29.5¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$24 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerWon
FURIA$95 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerWon
MOUZ$25 @ 63.0¢
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ALost
GamerLegion$42 @ 65.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerLost
Aurora$18 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump say "Operation" or "Spear" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "UFC" during the America Business Forum on November 5?Won
Yes$27 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Lost
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during dinner with Dutch royals?Won
No$4 @ 50.0¢
Will Melania say "Talent" during AI talk on Friday?Lost
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group CWon
100 Thieves$35 @ 56.9¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group CLost
Phantom$20 @ 19.0¢
Will Kathy Hochul say "Gay" or "LGBT" during the State of the State address?Lost
Yes$29 @ 28.0¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerWon
Aurora$15 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Lost
No$56 @ 5.4¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Won
Yes$30 @ 11.6¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerLost
9z$50 @ 63.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Lost
Yes$65 @ 42.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 WinnerLost
Weibo Gaming$24 @ 41.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao FonsecaLost
Joao Fonseca$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?Lost
Yes$18 @ 20.1¢
Athens Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Maria SakkariWon
Maria Sakkari$31 @ 69.0¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$49 @ 6.9¢
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerWon
Eternal Fire$17 @ 48.5¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$25 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump say "Coach" 15+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?Lost
Yes$32 @ 31.6¢
Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Lost
No$102 @ 28.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	Sports	LYON	$10	59.0¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerSports
LYON$10 @ 59.0¢