← Smart money
0xb2e4…b7f1
ProfitableEdge
+5.2pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
40% @ 34.8¢
Brier
0.149
Resolved
484
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 19% (567/2947) | -7% | 2947 |
| Science | 12% (116/963) | -11% | 963 |
| Politics | 12% (14/114) | -36% | 114 |
| Sports | 45% (14/31) | +22% | 31 |
| Culture | 22% (2/9) | +13% | 9 |
| Tech | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -58% | 4 |
| Economy | 50% (2/4) | +36% | 4 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other2947 bets
- Hit rate
- 19% (567/2947)
- ROI
- -7%
- Science963 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (116/963)
- ROI
- -11%
- Politics114 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (14/114)
- ROI
- -36%
- Sports31 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (14/31)
- ROI
- +22%
- Culture9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- +13%
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -58%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +36%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
18% hit · 716/4080- Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$117 @ 16.7¢
- No$9 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$121 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$122 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$45 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$167 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$158 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$97 @ 16.7¢
- No$4 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$13 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$13 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$13 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.1¢
- No$3 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
- No$4 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
- No$6 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.9¢
- No$3 @ 59.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
- No$13 @ 88.0¢
- No$3 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.1¢
- No$50 @ 66.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 23.0¢
- No$7 @ 32.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
- No$13 @ 75.3¢
- No$1 @ 78.0¢
- No$101 @ 51.8¢
- Yes$27 @ 40.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$20 @ 35.6¢
- No$4 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 47.0¢
- No$11 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$4.7k @ 88.6¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 95.4¢
- No$307 @ 98.5¢
- Yes$221 @ 44.6¢
- Yes$167 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$122 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$121 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$117 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$97 @ 16.7¢
- No$83 @ 14.9¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$80 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 14.3¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$80 @ 14.3¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$80 @ 14.3¢
- No$80 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$48 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$48 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$47 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$46 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$45 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$41 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$33 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$33 @ 9.1¢