← Smart money
0xb254…aa58
ProfitableEdge
+11.3pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
84% @ 73.1¢
Brier
0.132
Resolved
160
Avg size
$95
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 81% (34/42) | +7% | 42 |
| Politics | 80% (4/5) | -18% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +53% | 1 |
- Other42 bets
- Hit rate
- 81% (34/42)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- -18%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +53%
Track record
81% hit · 39/48- No$84 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$370 @ 52.9¢
- No$100 @ 89.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 84.5¢
- No$2.3k @ 65.3¢
- Yes$111 @ 85.0¢
- No$960 @ 76.3¢
- Yes$112 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$100 @ 88.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
- No$347 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$313 @ 88.6¢
- No$100 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$154 @ 83.3¢
- No$244 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$201 @ 87.8¢
- No$200 @ 75.0¢
- No$20 @ 24.3¢
- No$303 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
- No$106 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
- No$240 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$464 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
- No$680 @ 85.0¢
- No$99 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$486 @ 87.6¢
- Yes$106 @ 84.7¢
- Yes$144 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$83 @ 85.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 37.6¢
- No$120 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$79 @ 78.8¢
- No$2.2k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 85.0¢
- No$300 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$114 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 70.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $289 | 75.0¢ |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $267 | 87.1¢ |
- No$289 @ 75.0¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$267 @ 87.1¢