0xb223…3772

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb22326c1770aa89dfb2b372137e570a360433772
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.8pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

55% @ 52.4¢

Brier

0.234

Resolved

4521

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (114/209)	+27%	209
Sports	43% (72/168)	-25%	168
Politics	59% (13/22)	+13%	22
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	+83%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+38%	3

Other209 bets
Hit rate
55% (114/209)
ROI
+27%
Sports168 bets
Hit rate
43% (72/168)
ROI
-25%
Politics22 bets
Hit rate
59% (13/22)
ROI
+13%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+83%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+38%

Track record

50% hit · 203/405

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5	Over	$1	36.0¢	Won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5	Under	$1	67.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5	Over	$26	42.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5	Under	$25	61.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$50	66.0¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	$10	67.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	$19	68.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$51	21.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$13	24.8¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	$27	84.1¢	Won
France leading at halftime?	No	$51	38.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7	38.0¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1	58.0¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5	Under	$2	43.0¢	Won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5	Under	$29	61.3¢	Won
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	$2	47.0¢	Won
Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	$2	56.0¢	Won
Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	$2	48.0¢	Lost
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$8	41.3¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	Team Secret Whales	$47	8.4¢	Lost
France leading at halftime?	No	$1	54.0¢	Lost
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	74.6¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	Paraguay	$51	40.0¢	Won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	No	$9	72.9¢	Won
Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$7	38.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$14	41.9¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$2	48.2¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$50	66.0¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$51	49.0¢	Won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	$69	85.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$8	29.7¢	Won
Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Under	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	$1	59.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$2	71.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	28.9¢	Lost
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	$24	75.0¢	Won
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Under	$27	35.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Under	$1	51.0¢	Won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	$1	65.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	Hanwha Life Esports	$51	72.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$1	55.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	$19	48.0¢	Lost
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$44	55.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$51	61.0¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	$51	43.2¢	Lost
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	Over	$51	62.0¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Under	$16	47.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)	Movistar KOI	$3	49.0¢	Lost
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	45.0¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5	Over	$33	46.0¢	Lost

New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Won
Over$1 @ 36.0¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1 @ 67.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Won
Over$26 @ 42.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Lost
Under$25 @ 61.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$50 @ 66.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$10 @ 67.0¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$19 @ 68.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$51 @ 21.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$13 @ 24.8¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsWon
Hanwha Life Esports$27 @ 84.1¢
France leading at halftime?Won
No$51 @ 38.0¢
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$7 @ 38.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1 @ 58.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Won
Under$2 @ 43.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Won
Under$29 @ 61.3¢
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Won
Under$2 @ 47.0¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 56.0¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Lost
Under$2 @ 48.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$8 @ 41.3¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Secret Whales$47 @ 8.4¢
France leading at halftime?Lost
No$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 74.6¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
Paraguay$51 @ 40.0¢
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfWon
No$9 @ 72.9¢
Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$7 @ 38.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Lost
No$14 @ 41.9¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Won
Yes$2 @ 48.2¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$50 @ 66.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$51 @ 49.0¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
No$69 @ 85.3¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Won
Yes$8 @ 29.7¢
Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1 @ 68.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Won
No$1 @ 59.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 71.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 28.9¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$24 @ 75.0¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$27 @ 35.0¢
Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Won
Under$1 @ 51.0¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$1 @ 65.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierWon
Hanwha Life Esports$51 @ 72.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerLost
G2 Esports$19 @ 48.0¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$44 @ 55.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$51 @ 61.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerLost
Bilibili Gaming$51 @ 43.2¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Won
Over$51 @ 62.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$16 @ 47.0¢
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)Lost
Movistar KOI$3 @ 49.0¢
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 45.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Lost
Over$33 @ 46.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$200	45.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$191	74.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$60	75.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$50	72.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$28	84.4¢
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$27	23.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$26	64.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$8	83.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$8	81.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Politics	No	$6	74.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	28.4¢
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs	Sports	Yawara Esports	$3	57.7¢
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$3	28.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$2	50.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Crypto	No	$2	51.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Politics	Yes	$1	39.0¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$200 @ 45.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$191 @ 74.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$60 @ 75.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$50 @ 72.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$28 @ 84.4¢
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$27 @ 23.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$26 @ 64.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$8 @ 81.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
No$6 @ 74.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 28.4¢
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsSports
Yawara Esports$3 @ 57.7¢
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Politics
Yes$3 @ 28.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$2 @ 50.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto
No$2 @ 51.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢