0xb209…b744

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb209ec049419fe55a1075981fe67d5dd23fab744
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

45% @ 40.8¢

Brier

0.182

Resolved

2215

Avg size

$69

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (255/561)	+12%	561
Sports	49% (87/176)	+32%	176
Politics	40% (2/5)	+192%	5
Geopolitics	40% (2/5)	-49%	5

Other561 bets
Hit rate
45% (255/561)
ROI
+12%
Sports176 bets
Hit rate
49% (87/176)
ROI
+32%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+192%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-49%

Track record

46% hit · 346/747

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
China PR vs. Turkmenistan: Second half draw?	No	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Turkmenistan leading at halftime?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	No	$20	6.2¢	Lost
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	$313	96.0¢	Won
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	No	$15	99.1¢	Won
Bolt vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	$5	50.0¢	Won
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner	mCon esports	$36	49.3¢	Lost
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Alliance Guardians	$1.0k	36.2¢	Won
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Dynamo Esports	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$83	16.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Hive vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Zero Tenacity	$211	78.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Brute vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner	Brute	$33	6.3¢	Lost
Falcons vs. Dolphins	Falcons	$546	78.0¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner	GAM Esports	$657	57.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	Walczaki	$60	62.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner	Fire Flux Esports	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Poker Face - Game 2 Winner	Poker Face	$3	4.7¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Under	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	$90	17.9¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$403	22.5¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$543	63.6¢	Won
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs	Sharper Esport	$17	45.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner	struggletony	$90	63.7¢	Won
Spread: CD Concepción (-1.5)	CD Concepción	$4	13.0¢	Lost
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 3.5	Over	$1	6.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	$12	3.4¢	Lost
Will SV Ried win on 2026-08-09?	No	$23	66.9¢	Won
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5	Under	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Spread: Leeds United (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	$12	70.5¢	Lost
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	$38	70.7¢	Won
Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Ding Cuts (+1.5)	Ding Cuts	$281	33.4¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	16.0¢	Won
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner	G2 Minnesota	$175	29.4¢	Lost
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	$24	52.0¢	Won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)	NRG	$326	76.0¢	Won
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage	Fnatic	$102	37.0¢	Won
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage	Rebels Gaming	$131	48.4¢	Lost
Will Kruger United win on 2026-08-01?	No	$12	60.8¢	Won
Gil Vicente FC vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 1.5	Under	$31	38.9¢	Lost
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winner	Dynamo Esports	$51	5.0¢	Lost
Myler Matej vs. Makara Michal	Makara Michal	$42	0.1¢	Lost
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	$35	68.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute - Map 2 Winner	Brute	$105	50.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)	Team WE	$14	31.0¢	Won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Under	$93	25.2¢	Won
Army vs. Temple: O/U 34.5	Over	$1	71.0¢	Won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	$70	10.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	M80	$8	76.5¢	Won
Spread: Pendikspor (-2.5)	Batman Petrolspor	$0	85.0¢	Won
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	$159	35.0¢	Won

China PR vs. Turkmenistan: Second half draw?Lost
No$1 @ 1.9¢
Turkmenistan leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?Lost
No$20 @ 6.2¢
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?Won
Yes$313 @ 96.0¢
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$15 @ 99.1¢
Bolt vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Won
Over$5 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 WinnerLost
mCon esports$36 @ 49.3¢
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageWon
Alliance Guardians$1.0k @ 36.2¢
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageLost
Dynamo Esports$10 @ 5.0¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$83 @ 16.0¢
Dota 2: Hive vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerWon
Zero Tenacity$211 @ 78.9¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 WinnerLost
Brute$33 @ 6.3¢
Falcons vs. DolphinsWon
Falcons$546 @ 78.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerLost
GAM Esports$657 @ 57.9¢
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerWon
Walczaki$60 @ 62.0¢
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerLost
Fire Flux Esports$6 @ 6.0¢
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Poker Face - Game 2 WinnerLost
Poker Face$3 @ 4.7¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$20 @ 2.0¢
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerLost
ex-Zero Tenacity$90 @ 17.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$403 @ 22.5¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$543 @ 63.6¢
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: PlayoffsWon
Sharper Esport$17 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 WinnerWon
struggletony$90 @ 63.7¢
Spread: CD Concepción (-1.5)Lost
CD Concepción$4 @ 13.0¢
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1 @ 6.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$12 @ 3.4¢
Will SV Ried win on 2026-08-09?Won
No$23 @ 66.9¢
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1 @ 0.1¢
Spread: Leeds United (-1.5)Lost
Liverpool FC$12 @ 70.5¢
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Won
San Francisco Giants$38 @ 70.7¢
Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Ding Cuts (+1.5)Lost
Ding Cuts$281 @ 33.4¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Under$2 @ 16.0¢
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 WinnerLost
G2 Minnesota$175 @ 29.4¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWon
Over$24 @ 52.0¢
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)Won
NRG$326 @ 76.0¢
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group StageWon
Fnatic$102 @ 37.0¢
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group StageLost
Rebels Gaming$131 @ 48.4¢
Will Kruger United win on 2026-08-01?Won
No$12 @ 60.8¢
Gil Vicente FC vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$31 @ 38.9¢
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 WinnerLost
Dynamo Esports$51 @ 5.0¢
Myler Matej vs. Makara MichalLost
Makara Michal$42 @ 0.1¢
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Won
Under$35 @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerLost
Brute$105 @ 50.0¢
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Won
Team WE$14 @ 31.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Won
Under$93 @ 25.2¢
Army vs. Temple: O/U 34.5Won
Over$1 @ 71.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$70 @ 10.0¢
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageWon
M80$8 @ 76.5¢
Spread: Pendikspor (-2.5)Won
Batman Petrolspor$0 @ 85.0¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerWon
Dplus KIA Challengers$159 @ 35.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spread: Turkmenistan (-2.5)	Sports	China PR	$280	56.0¢
Spread: Turkmenistan (-4.5)	Sports	China PR	$136	54.9¢
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$15	99.1¢
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Korona Kielce: Korona Kielce O/U 5.5 Corners	—	Under	$9	59.0¢
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$4	49.0¢
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$4	47.0¢
China PR vs. Turkmenistan: Second half draw?	Sports	No	$1	1.9¢
Turkmenistan leading at halftime?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢

Spread: Turkmenistan (-2.5)Sports
China PR$280 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Turkmenistan (-4.5)Sports
China PR$136 @ 54.9¢
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$15 @ 99.1¢
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Korona Kielce: Korona Kielce O/U 5.5 Corners—
Under$9 @ 59.0¢
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$4 @ 49.0¢
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$4 @ 47.0¢
China PR vs. Turkmenistan: Second half draw?Sports
No$1 @ 1.9¢
Turkmenistan leading at halftime?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢