0xb1e0…d60c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb1e0dc7e8cdc57920ac9135959cd6643c0b0d60c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

45% @ 39.5¢

Brier

0.096

Resolved

350

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (35/89)	+23%	89
Sports	46% (31/68)	-2%	68
Politics	93% (13/14)	+4%	14
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+5%	4
Tech	100% (1/1)	+9%	1

Other89 bets
Hit rate
39% (35/89)
ROI
+23%
Sports68 bets
Hit rate
46% (31/68)
ROI
-2%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
93% (13/14)
ROI
+4%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+5%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+9%

Track record

48% hit · 84/176

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will Michael Olise have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?	Yes	$3	19.5¢	Lost
Will Pedri lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$3	50.1¢	Won
Will Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$10	68.1¢	Won
Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	$1	46.0¢	Won
Will Lecce place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	$55	64.8¢	Won
Will Hamburger SV place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Como qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$3	62.0¢	Lost
Will Lazio qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	$2	7.4¢	Lost
Will Stade de Reims achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	$9	29.2¢	Lost
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	$3	32.5¢	Lost
Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will RB Leipzig place 2nd for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	$8	35.5¢	Lost
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$0	3.1¢	Lost
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will ESTAC Troyes achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	$10	49.5¢	Won
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	No	$18	85.4¢	Won
Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	No	$17	43.1¢	Lost
Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	$9	46.0¢	Won
Will Werder Bremen place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will Leeds United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	No	$49	40.2¢	Lost
Will Roma qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$0	2.7¢	Won
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	$1	3.2¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	$4	73.0¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Won
Will Como qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	$5	23.2¢	Lost
Will Como qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Won
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Al-Hilal win Saudi Professional League?	Yes	$1	12.3¢	Lost
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	$18	89.8¢	Won
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	$13	70.3¢	Won
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$3	51.0¢	Won
Will Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?	No	$89	88.5¢	Won
Will Lamine Yamal lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?	Yes	$7	64.7¢	Won
Will AC Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$6	8.3¢	Lost
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?	Yes	$13	35.4¢	Lost
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will Vangelis Pavlidis score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost

Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Michael Olise have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$3 @ 19.5¢
Will Pedri lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.1¢
Will Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?Won
Yes$10 @ 68.1¢
Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Won
Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?Won
Yes$7 @ 72.0¢
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Won
No$1 @ 46.0¢
Will Lecce place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Lost
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Won
No$55 @ 64.8¢
Will Hamburger SV place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Como qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
Will Lazio qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.4¢
Will Stade de Reims achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?Lost
Yes$9 @ 29.2¢
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.5¢
Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will RB Leipzig place 2nd for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
No$8 @ 35.5¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will ESTAC Troyes achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.5¢
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?Won
No$18 @ 85.4¢
Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Lost
No$17 @ 43.1¢
Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Won
Yes$9 @ 46.0¢
Will Werder Bremen place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
76ers vs. CelticsLost
Celtics$1 @ 19.0¢
Will Leeds United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?Lost
No$49 @ 40.2¢
Will Roma qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Won
Yes$0 @ 2.7¢
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.2¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Lost
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Won
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Como qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Lost
No$5 @ 23.2¢
Will Como qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Won
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Al-Hilal win Saudi Professional League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.3¢
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Won
No$18 @ 89.8¢
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Won
Yes$13 @ 70.3¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Will Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?Won
No$89 @ 88.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?Won
Yes$7 @ 64.7¢
Will AC Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.3¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$13 @ 35.4¢
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Vangelis Pavlidis score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Sports	No	$72	85.5¢
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$52	94.5¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Politics	No	$34	80.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$31	89.4¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$29	97.6¢
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Tech	No	$28	94.0¢
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	No	$25	82.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$20	79.0¢
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$19	96.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$15	99.1¢
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Politics	No	$15	97.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$15	96.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14	96.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14	94.6¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$14	92.7¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$13	89.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10	97.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10	97.1¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$9	93.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	93.5¢
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$9	90.0¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$9	89.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	89.5¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$9	88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	85.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Politics	No	$9	85.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$8	82.5¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Politics	No	$8	75.0¢
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$5	99.4¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$5	92.9¢

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Sports
No$72 @ 85.5¢
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$52 @ 94.5¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics
No$34 @ 80.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$31 @ 89.4¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$29 @ 97.6¢
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Tech
No$28 @ 94.0¢
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?Crypto
No$25 @ 82.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$20 @ 79.0¢
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$19 @ 96.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$15 @ 99.1¢
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics
No$15 @ 97.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$15 @ 96.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14 @ 96.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14 @ 94.6¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$14 @ 92.7¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$13 @ 89.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10 @ 97.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10 @ 97.1¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 93.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 93.5¢
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 89.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 89.5¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 85.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
No$9 @ 85.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$8 @ 82.5¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics
No$8 @ 75.0¢
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 99.4¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
No$5 @ 92.9¢